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League Two · Regular Season - 11

Shrewsbury 1–0 Bristol Rovers

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC · New Meadow, Shrewsbury

Shrewsbury crestShrewsburyTeam 1582
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Bristol Rovers crestBristol RoversTeam 1669

Match story

Shrewsbury · draw · Bristol Rovers

Before kick-off: 34% · 30% · 36%

Live chances: Shrewsbury 100%, draw 0%, Bristol Rovers 0% at 90+10'1' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 34%, draw 30%, Bristol Rovers 36%2' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 34%, draw 30%, Bristol Rovers 36%3' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 34%, draw 30%, Bristol Rovers 36%4' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 34%, draw 31%, Bristol Rovers 36%5' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 33%, draw 31%, Bristol Rovers 36%6' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 33%, draw 31%, Bristol Rovers 36%7' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 33%, draw 31%, Bristol Rovers 36%8' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 33%, draw 31%, Bristol Rovers 36%9' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 33%, draw 31%, Bristol Rovers 36%10' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 33%, draw 31%, Bristol Rovers 36%11' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 33%, draw 31%, Bristol Rovers 36%12' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 33%, draw 31%, Bristol Rovers 35%13' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 33%, draw 32%, Bristol Rovers 35%14' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 33%, draw 32%, Bristol Rovers 35%15' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 33%, draw 32%, Bristol Rovers 35%16' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 33%, draw 32%, Bristol Rovers 35%17' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 33%, draw 32%, Bristol Rovers 35%18' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 33%, draw 32%, Bristol Rovers 35%19' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 33%, draw 32%, Bristol Rovers 35%20' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 33%, draw 33%, Bristol Rovers 35%21' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 32%, draw 33%, Bristol Rovers 35%22' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 32%, draw 33%, Bristol Rovers 35%23' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 32%, draw 33%, Bristol Rovers 34%24' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 32%, draw 33%, Bristol Rovers 34%25' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 32%, draw 34%, Bristol Rovers 34%26' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 32%, draw 34%, Bristol Rovers 34%27' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 32%, draw 34%, Bristol Rovers 34%28' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 32%, draw 34%, Bristol Rovers 34%29' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 32%, draw 34%, Bristol Rovers 34%31' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 32%, draw 35%, Bristol Rovers 34%32' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 32%, draw 35%, Bristol Rovers 34%33' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 31%, draw 35%, Bristol Rovers 33%34' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 31%, draw 35%, Bristol Rovers 33%35' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 31%, draw 36%, Bristol Rovers 33%36' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 31%, draw 36%, Bristol Rovers 33%37' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 31%, draw 36%, Bristol Rovers 33%38' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 31%, draw 36%, Bristol Rovers 33%39' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 31%, draw 37%, Bristol Rovers 33%40' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 31%, draw 37%, Bristol Rovers 32%41' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 30%, draw 37%, Bristol Rovers 32%42' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 30%, draw 38%, Bristol Rovers 32%43' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 30%, draw 38%, Bristol Rovers 32%44' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 30%, draw 38%, Bristol Rovers 32%45' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 30%, draw 38%, Bristol Rovers 32%45+1' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 30%, draw 39%, Bristol Rovers 31%HT · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 29%, draw 40%, Bristol Rovers 31%47' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 29%, draw 40%, Bristol Rovers 31%48' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 29%, draw 40%, Bristol Rovers 31%49' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 29%, draw 41%, Bristol Rovers 30%50' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 29%, draw 41%, Bristol Rovers 30%51' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 28%, draw 42%, Bristol Rovers 30%52' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 28%, draw 42%, Bristol Rovers 30%53' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 28%, draw 43%, Bristol Rovers 29%54' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 28%, draw 43%, Bristol Rovers 29%55' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 27%, draw 44%, Bristol Rovers 29%56' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 27%, draw 45%, Bristol Rovers 28%57' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 27%, draw 45%, Bristol Rovers 28%58' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 26%, draw 46%, Bristol Rovers 28%59' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 26%, draw 46%, Bristol Rovers 27%60' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 26%, draw 47%, Bristol Rovers 27%61' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 25%, draw 48%, Bristol Rovers 27%62' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 25%, draw 48%, Bristol Rovers 26%63' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 25%, draw 49%, Bristol Rovers 26%64' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 25%, draw 50%, Bristol Rovers 26%65' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 24%, draw 51%, Bristol Rovers 25%66' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 24%, draw 51%, Bristol Rovers 25%67' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 23%, draw 52%, Bristol Rovers 24%68' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 23%, draw 53%, Bristol Rovers 24%69' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 23%, draw 54%, Bristol Rovers 24%70' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 22%, draw 55%, Bristol Rovers 23%71' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 22%, draw 56%, Bristol Rovers 23%72' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 21%, draw 56%, Bristol Rovers 22%73' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 21%, draw 57%, Bristol Rovers 22%74' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 20%, draw 58%, Bristol Rovers 21%75' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 20%, draw 59%, Bristol Rovers 21%76' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 19%, draw 61%, Bristol Rovers 20%77' · 0–0 · Shrewsbury 19%, draw 62%, Bristol Rovers 20%78' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 80%, draw 17%, Bristol Rovers 3%79' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 81%, draw 17%, Bristol Rovers 2%80' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 81%, draw 16%, Bristol Rovers 2%81' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 82%, draw 16%, Bristol Rovers 2%82' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 76%, draw 20%, Bristol Rovers 3%83' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 77%, draw 20%, Bristol Rovers 3%84' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 79%, draw 19%, Bristol Rovers 3%85' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 80%, draw 18%, Bristol Rovers 2%86' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 81%, draw 17%, Bristol Rovers 2%87' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 82%, draw 16%, Bristol Rovers 2%88' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 84%, draw 15%, Bristol Rovers 1%89' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 86%, draw 13%, Bristol Rovers 1%90' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 87%, draw 12%, Bristol Rovers 1%90+1' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 89%, draw 10%, Bristol Rovers 1%90+2' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 91%, draw 9%, Bristol Rovers 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 93%, draw 7%, Bristol Rovers 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 95%, draw 5%, Bristol Rovers 0%90+5' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 96%, draw 4%, Bristol Rovers 0%90+6' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 98%, draw 2%, Bristol Rovers 0%90+7' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 100%, draw 0%, Bristol Rovers 0%90+8' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 100%, draw 0%, Bristol Rovers 0%90+9' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 100%, draw 0%, Bristol Rovers 0%90+10' · 1–0 · Shrewsbury 100%, draw 0%, Bristol Rovers 0%

Last reading, 90+10': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Bristol Rovers 36% to win: Shrewsbury won.

  1. 10'Bristol Rovers:Shaqai Forde 1724 −11
  2. 16'Shrewsbury:Josh Ruffels 1645 +26
  3. 34'Bristol Rovers:Steve Evans
  4. 43'Shrewsbury:George Lloyd 1716 +24
  5. 58'Bristol Rovers:Joe Quigley 1590 −2 for Richard Smallwood 1637 −10
  6. 58'Bristol Rovers:Arvin Appiah 1650 −1 for Bobby Kamwa 1650 −2
  7. 64'Bristol Rovers:Keenan Gough 1621 0
  8. 68'Bristol Rovers:Reiss-Alexander Russell-Denny 1166 0 for Clinton Mola 1734 −9
  9. 73'Bristol Rovers:Jack Sparkes 1779 −3 for Ciaran Kelly 1716 −9
  10. 77'Shrewsbury:George Lloyd 1716 +24 (pen.)
  11. 80'Shrewsbury:J. Turner-Cook 1238 +64
  12. 84'Shrewsbury:Isaac Fletcher 1459 +3 for Josh Davison 1634 +29
  13. 84'Shrewsbury:will gray for Kian McMahon-Brown 1885 +30
  14. 88'Bristol Rovers:Ben Purrington 1707 −12
  15. 90+4'Shrewsbury:Isaac Fletcher 1459 +3

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-1-2Formations4-2-3-1
GWilliam Michael Brook1647+31
DS. Stubbs1680+27
DW. Boyle1703+23
DJ. Ruffels1645+26
ML. Hoole1725+24
MT. Sang1684+27
MJ. Turner-Cooke1238+64
MK. Berkoe1730+23
MK. M. Brown1885+30
FG. Lloyd1716+24
FJ. Davison1634+29
CG. Cowan1445+99
GBrad Young1721−11
DT. James1708−12
DK. Balmer1750−14
DC. Kelly1716−9
DB. Purrington1707−12
MR. Smallwood1637−10
MC. Mola1734−9
MKeenan Gough16210
MS. Forde1724−11
MB. Kamwa1650−2
FF. Cavegn1694−8
CS. Evans1666−9
Before kick-off: 34% · 30% · 36%(Shrewsbury · draw · Bristol Rovers)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Shrewsbury €201K, Bristol Rovers €279K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Shrewsbury

18th in League Two · 11 pts from 10

  • 10 OctLExeter City 1608
  • 3 OctWGrimsby 1578
  • 26 SepDColchester 1543
  • 22 SepLTranmere 1476
  • 19 SepDCrewe 1619

Bristol Rovers

9th in League Two · 15 pts from 10

  • 10 OctLBarnet 1728
  • 6 OctLWycombe 1791
  • 3 OctLCrewe 1673
  • 26 SepWExeter City 1730
  • 19 SepLGillingham 1724

Season outlook

From the League Two simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Shrewsbury11 /1058.20%3%11%16th
Bristol Rovers15 /1070.84%38%<1%3rd
Shrewsbury
Bristol Rovers

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: League Two

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Ruffels
J. Ruffels

Shrewsbury · +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1619

B. Kamwa
B. Kamwa

Bristol Rovers · +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1652

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Gavin Patrick Cowan

Coach DNA: –

Stephen Evans

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Shrewsbury: direct (how Gavin Patrick Cowan plays) · Bristol Rovers: balanced profile (how Stephen Evans plays)