First League · Regular Season - 11
Shkendija vs Vardar Skopje
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Shkendija host Vardar Skopje on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (First League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Shkendija 39%, draw 29%, Vardar Skopje 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Shkendija €339K, Vardar Skopje €322K.
- Home advantage makes Shkendija the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- B. Gaye and B. Ibraimi (Shkendija) have not played for over 90 days.
- B. Nikolov, S. Cvetković, Goran Zakarić, N. Bosančić and F. Cvetkovski (Vardar Skopje) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Shkendija goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Shkendija 1573 · Vardar Skopje 1597
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Shkendija from last season's line-ups (latest 9 May 2026); Vardar Skopje from last season's line-ups (latest 9 May 2026).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Shkendija
1st in First League · 23 pts from 10
- 13 AugDHibernian UEFA Conference League1524
- 6 AugLHibernian UEFA Conference League1527
- 30 JulWBravo UEFA Conference League1504
- 23 JulLBravo UEFA Conference League1519
- 16 JulWEuropa UEFA Conference League1521
Vardar Skopje
3rd in First League · 20 pts from 10
- 28 JulWRiga UEFA Conference League1568
- 22 JulLRiga UEFA Conference League1595
- 14 JulWKuPS UEFA Champions League1584
- 7 JulLKuPS UEFA Champions League1579
- 9 MayWSileks North Macedonia First League1619
Season outlook
From the First League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shkendija | 23 /10 | 36.9 | 58% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Vardar Skopje | 20 /10 | 34.7 | 27% | 98% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct