First League · Regular Season - 15
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Kostroma
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Stadion Shinnik, Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl host Spartak Kostroma on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (First League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Shinnik Yaroslavl 42%, draw 29%, Spartak Kostroma 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Shinnik Yaroslavl €230K, Spartak Kostroma €272K.
- Home advantage makes Shinnik Yaroslavl the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Shinnik Yaroslavl goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1468 · Spartak Kostroma 1497
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Shinnik Yaroslavl
8th in First League · 20 pts from 14
- 18 OctDVeles Russia First League1422
- 10 OctWTekstilshchik Russia First League1455
- 27 SepDSka-khabarovsk Russia First League1431
- 18 SepLKAMAZ Russia First League1445
- 14 SepDUral Russia First League1435
Spartak Kostroma
4th in First League · 27 pts from 14
- 17 OctWLeningradets Russia First League1464
- 9 OctLArsenal Tula Russia First League1481
- 26 SepLUral Russia First League1476
- 18 SepWVolga Ulyanovsk Russia First League1462
- 14 SepWFK Neftekhimik Russia First League1485
Season outlook
From the First League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shinnik Yaroslavl | 20 /14 | 46.6 | 0% | 5% | 1% | 9th |
| Spartak Kostroma | 27 /14 | 54.6 | 1% | 32% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –