Super Liga · Regular Season - 17
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol host Zimbru on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Super Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sheriff Tiraspol 45%, draw 28%, Zimbru 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sheriff Tiraspol €352K, Zimbru €195K.
- Zé Flores, P. Ademo and M. Ghorbel (Sheriff Tiraspol) have not played for over 90 days.
- E. Cociuc and S. Cojocari (Zimbru) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sheriff Tiraspol goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Sheriff Tiraspol 1415 · Zimbru 1368
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Sheriff Tiraspol from last season's line-ups (latest 3 May 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sheriff Tiraspol · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1569
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sheriff Tiraspol
1st in Super Liga · 34 pts from 15
- 29 AugLZimbru Moldova Super Liga1399
- 13 AugLFC ST. Gallen UEFA Conference League1402
- 6 AugLFC ST. Gallen UEFA Conference League1412
- 30 JulLMaccabi Tel Aviv UEFA Europa League1427
- 23 JulLMaccabi Tel Aviv UEFA Europa League1436
Zimbru
2nd in Super Liga · 28 pts from 15
- 29 AugWSheriff Tiraspol Moldova Super Liga1308
- 30 JulLFC Noah UEFA Conference League1312
- 23 JulDFC Noah UEFA Conference League1326
- 5 AprDSheriff Tiraspol Moldova Super Liga1450
- 14 MarWDacia-Buiucani Moldova Super Liga1419
Season outlook
From the Super Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheriff Tiraspol | 34 /15 | 44.8 | 91% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Zimbru | 28 /15 | 38.4 | 7% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 8th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –