Super Liga · Regular Season - 19
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Milsami Orhei
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol
Sheriff Tiraspol host Milsami Orhei on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Super Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sheriff Tiraspol 50%, draw 27%, Milsami Orhei 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sheriff Tiraspol €253K, Milsami Orhei €111K.
- E. Tîmbur, B. Fomba, V. Fratea, A. Përgjoni and S. Koné (Sheriff Tiraspol) have not played for over 90 days.
- F. Dujmović, R. Gînsari, M. Ghecev, C. Nwanze, S. Chele, V. Posmac, L. Bulmaga, I. Souza, A. Sejdiu and Philip Odubia (Milsami Orhei) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sheriff Tiraspol goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–011%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Sheriff Tiraspol 1407 · Milsami Orhei 1302
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sheriff Tiraspol · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1561
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sheriff Tiraspol
1st in Super Liga · 39 pts from 18
- 29 AugLZimbru Moldova Super Liga1392
- 13 AugLFC ST. Gallen UEFA Conference League1392
- 6 AugLFC ST. Gallen UEFA Conference League1404
- 30 JulLMaccabi Tel Aviv UEFA Europa League1423
- 23 JulLMaccabi Tel Aviv UEFA Europa League1425
Milsami Orhei
5th in Super Liga · 25 pts from 18
- 16 JulLVelež UEFA Conference League1265
- 9 JulDVelež UEFA Conference League1258
- 15 MarDCSF Bălți Moldova Super Liga1282
- 7 MarDZimbru Moldova Super Liga1317
- 30 NovLCSF Bălți Moldova Super Liga1330
Season outlook
From the Super Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheriff Tiraspol | 39 /18 | 44.8 | 94% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Milsami Orhei | 25 /18 | 29.6 | 0% | 57% | 1% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 8th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –