Super League · Regular Season - 27
Shenyang Urban 1–1 Wuhan Three Towns
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 11:35 UTC · Tiexi Stadium, Shenyang
Shenyang UrbanTeam 1583
Wuhan Three TownsTeam 1578Match story
Shenyang Urban · draw · Wuhan Three TownsBefore kick-off: 42% · 29% · 29%
Last reading, 90+5': 2% · 96% · 2%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Chen Binbin 85'
- A. Leautey 87'
We gave Shenyang Urban 42% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Li Haoran 1424 −8*21'
Shenyang Urban:Li Haoran 1424 −8* - Jeffinho 1796 −13*28'
Shenyang Urban:Jeffinho 1796 −13* - 30'Ming Tian 1713 −8*
Wuhan Three Towns:Ming Tian 1713 −8* - 38'J. Cadiz 1718 −8*
Wuhan Three Towns:J. Cadiz 1718 −8* - A. Kouame 1567 −9*43'
Shenyang Urban:A. Kouame 1567 −9* - H. Zhang 1532 −8* for Li Haoran 1424 −8*46'
Shenyang Urban:H. Zhang 1532 −8* for Li Haoran 1424 −8* - 61'J. Xiong 1514 −3*
Wuhan Three Towns:J. Xiong 1514 −3* - Yuan Mincheng 1746 −12*62'
Shenyang Urban:Yuan Mincheng 1746 −12* - G. Mbenza 1779 −8* for Felipe 1730 −14*65'
Shenyang Urban:G. Mbenza 1779 −8* for Felipe 1730 −14* - 72'A. Leautey 1561 −7* for Wang Jinxian 1558 +1*
Wuhan Three Towns:A. Leautey 1561 −7* for Wang Jinxian 1558 +1* - 72'Long Wei 1345 −9* for J. Xiong 1514 −3*
Wuhan Three Towns:Long Wei 1345 −9* for J. Xiong 1514 −3* - 78'Liao Chengjian 1550 −12* for Zhang Xiaobin 1549 0*
Wuhan Three Towns:Liao Chengjian 1550 −12* for Zhang Xiaobin 1549 0* - Gao Jiarun 1485 −10* for D. Mawlanniyaz 1712 −9*81'
Shenyang Urban:Gao Jiarun 1485 −10* for D. Mawlanniyaz 1712 −9* - 84'Adriano Firmino 1763 −2*
Wuhan Three Towns:Adriano Firmino 1763 −2* - Chen Binbin 1780 −13*85'
Shenyang Urban:Chen Binbin 1780 −13* - 87'Liu Binbin 1554 −12* for K. Bevis 1721 −2*
Wuhan Three Towns:Liu Binbin 1554 −12* for K. Bevis 1721 −2* - 87'A. Leautey 1561 −7*
Wuhan Three Towns:A. Leautey 1561 −7* - 87'Li Shenyuan 1624 −8* for Ming Tian 1713 −8*
Wuhan Three Towns:Li Shenyuan 1624 −8* for Ming Tian 1713 −8*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 42% · 29% · 29%(Shenyang Urban · draw · Wuhan Three Towns)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Shenyang Urban €359K, Wuhan Three Towns €296K.
- Shenyang Urban's expected eleven was out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.8 over 180 days.
- All 11 of Wuhan Three Towns' expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Shenyang Urban
14th in Super League · 25 pts from 26
- 12 SepLTianjin Teda Chinese Super League1717
- 6 SepLYunnan Yukun Chinese Super League1674
- 29 AugLChengdu Better City Chinese Super League1717
- 23 AugDHenan Jianye Chinese Super League1724
- 15 AugLSichuan Jiuniu Chinese Super League1725
Wuhan Three Towns
15th in Super League · 21 pts from 26
- 18 SepLHangzhou Greentown Chinese Super League1667
- 12 SepDHenan Jianye Chinese Super League1647
- 5 SepDQingdao Youth Island Chinese Super League1687
- 29 AugWQingdao Jonoon Chinese Super League1643
- 22 AugDTianjin Teda Chinese Super League1646
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenyang Urban | 25 /26 | 30.4 | 0% | 0% | 53% | 14th |
| Wuhan Three Towns | 21 /26 | 25.7 | 0% | 0% | 96% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Shenyang Urban · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1783

Wuhan Three Towns · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.8 (Good) · Elo 1726
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Shenyang Urban: balanced profile (how Sasa Kolic plays) · Wuhan Three Towns: dribble-heavy (how Ricardo Soares plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.