Super League · Regular Season - 29
Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 07:30 UTC · Olympic Sports Centre Stadium, Shenyang
Shenyang Urban host Hangzhou Greentown on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Shenyang Urban 40%, draw 29%, Hangzhou Greentown 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Shenyang Urban €366K, Hangzhou Greentown €442K.
- Home advantage makes Shenyang Urban the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Shenyang Urban goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Shenyang Urban 1668 · Hangzhou Greentown 1688
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Shenyang Urban · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1782
Hangzhou Greentown · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1720
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Shenyang Urban
13th in Super League · 29 pts from 28
- 17 OctWQingdao Jonoon Chinese Super League1660
- 11 OctDWuhan Three Towns Chinese Super League1676
- 12 SepLTianjin Teda Chinese Super League1717
- 6 SepLYunnan Yukun Chinese Super League1674
- 29 AugLChengdu Better City Chinese Super League1717
Hangzhou Greentown
11th in Super League · 31 pts from 28
- 17 OctLShandong Luneng Chinese Super League1726
- 9 OctLShanghai SIPG Chinese Super League1748
- 18 SepWWuhan Three Towns Chinese Super League1683
- 6 SepLTianjin Teda Chinese Super League1769
- 29 AugWYunnan Yukun Chinese Super League1733
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shenyang Urban | 29 /28 | 31.3 | 0% | 0% | 24% | 13th |
| Hangzhou Greentown | 31 /28 | 33.8 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Shenyang Urban: balanced profile (how Sasa Kolic plays) · Hangzhou Greentown: possession-based · low-block (how Ross Aloisi plays)