League One · Regular Season - 15
Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Hillsborough, Sheffield
Sheffield Wednesday host Plymouth on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sheffield Wednesday 36%, draw 29%, Plymouth 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sheffield Wednesday €1.2M, Plymouth €784K.
- Home advantage makes Sheffield Wednesday the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
- League One: B. Mitchell is the highest-rated midfielder (2017).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sheffield Wednesday goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Sheffield Wednesday 1838 · Plymouth 1913
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sheffield Wednesday · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1675
Plymouth · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1854
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sheffield Wednesday
9th in League One · 19 pts from 12
- 27 OctDCambridge United England League One1852
- 24 OctLDoncaster England League One1793
- 20 OctLNotts County England League One1833
- 17 OctWAFC Wimbledon England League One1790
- 10 OctDHuddersfield England League One1817
Plymouth
5th in League One · 22 pts from 13
- 24 OctWCambridge United England League One1912
- 20 OctLStevenage England League One1906
- 17 OctLHuddersfield England League One1938
- 10 OctWAFC Wimbledon England League One1900
- 6 OctDNewport County England EFL Trophy1747
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Wednesday | 19 /12 | 68.0 | 3% | 20% | <1% | 7th |
| Plymouth | 22 /13 | 76.0 | 16% | 57% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sheffield Wednesday: balanced profile (how Henrik Pedersen plays) · Plymouth: direct (how Tom Cleverley plays)