League One · Regular Season - 11
Sheffield Wednesday 5–0 AFC Wimbledon
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield
Sheffield WednesdayTeam 1766
AFC WimbledonTeam 1677Match story
Sheffield Wednesday · draw · AFC WimbledonBefore kick-off: 49% · 28% · 23%
Last reading, 90+5': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Barry Bannan 38'
- Davis Keillor-Dunn 39', 85'
- Harry Gray 45'
- Callum Slattery 56'
We gave Sheffield Wednesday 49% to win: they did.
- Barry Bannan 1779 +40 assist Davis Keillor-Dunn 1882 +5938'
Sheffield Wednesday:Barry Bannan 1779 +40 assist Davis Keillor-Dunn 1882 +59 - Davis Keillor-Dunn 1882 +5939'
Sheffield Wednesday:Davis Keillor-Dunn 1882 +59 - 45'James Tilley 1696 −11* for Callum Maycock 1653 −1
AFC Wimbledon:James Tilley 1696 −11* for Callum Maycock 1653 −1 - 45'Marcus Browne 1664 −1 for Aron Sasu 1600 0
AFC Wimbledon:Marcus Browne 1664 −1 for Aron Sasu 1600 0 - Harry Gray 1806 +66 assist Jamal Lowe 1833 +4145'
Sheffield Wednesday:Harry Gray 1806 +66 assist Jamal Lowe 1833 +41 - Reece James 1796 +7249'
Sheffield Wednesday:Reece James 1796 +72 - Callum Slattery 1962 +44 assist Reece James 1796 +7256'
Sheffield Wednesday:Callum Slattery 1962 +44 assist Reece James 1796 +72 - Jaden Heskey 1648 +3660'
Sheffield Wednesday:Jaden Heskey 1648 +36 - Billy Mitchell 2048 +9 for Barry Bannan 1779 +4061'
Sheffield Wednesday:Billy Mitchell 2048 +9 for Barry Bannan 1779 +40 - Ali Al-Hamadi 1736 +1* for Jamal Lowe 1833 +4162'
Sheffield Wednesday:Ali Al-Hamadi 1736 +1* for Jamal Lowe 1833 +41 - Gabriel·Otegbayo 1762 +8 for Liam Cooper 1688 +5762'
Sheffield Wednesday:Gabriel·Otegbayo 1762 +8 for Liam Cooper 1688 +57 - 65'Zack Nelson 1635 0 for Ollie Harrison 1822 −13
AFC Wimbledon:Zack Nelson 1635 0 for Ollie Harrison 1822 −13 - 70'Andy Yiadom 1591 −7
AFC Wimbledon:Andy Yiadom 1591 −7 - 73'Harry Cornick 1549 −3 for Jayden Stockley 1695 −7
AFC Wimbledon:Harry Cornick 1549 −3 for Jayden Stockley 1695 −7 - Max Lowe 1811 −5* for Di'Shon Bernard 1930 +1874'
Sheffield Wednesday:Max Lowe 1811 −5* for Di'Shon Bernard 1930 +18 - Kieran Morrison 1686 +8 for Harry Gray 1806 +6681'
Sheffield Wednesday:Kieran Morrison 1686 +8 for Harry Gray 1806 +66 - Davis Keillor-Dunn 1882 +59 assist Kieran Morrison 1686 +885'
Sheffield Wednesday:Davis Keillor-Dunn 1882 +59 assist Kieran Morrison 1686 +8
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 49% · 28% · 23%(Sheffield Wednesday · draw · AFC Wimbledon)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 5–0 had 1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Sheffield Wednesday €971K, AFC Wimbledon €329K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of League One matchday 11: 124 points.
- League One: B. Mitchell was the highest-rated midfielder (2040).
- Sheffield Wednesday were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sheffield Wednesday
8th in League One · 15 pts from 8
- 10 OctDHuddersfield England League One1817
- 6 OctWSunderland U21 England EFL Trophy1724
- 22 SepWSalford City England EFL Trophy1647
- 19 SepDStockport County England League One1826
- 12 SepDWigan England League One1796
AFC Wimbledon
12th in League One · 12 pts from 9
- 10 OctLPlymouth England League One1716
- 6 OctDBarnet England EFL Trophy1657
- 26 SepDCambridge United England League One1691
- 17 SepDMilton Keynes Dons England League One1744
- 12 SepWDoncaster England League One1679
Season outlook
From the League One simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Wednesday | 15 /8 | 70.4 | 8% | 40% | <1% | 2nd |
| AFC Wimbledon | 12 /9 | 54.7 | <1% | 1% | 22% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Sheffield Wednesday · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1632

AFC Wimbledon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1737
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sheffield Wednesday: balanced profile (how Henrik Pedersen plays) · AFC Wimbledon: balanced profile (how Johnnie Jackson plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.