Championship · Regular Season - 16
Sheffield Utd vs Watford
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Bramall Lane, Sheffield
Sheffield Utd host Watford on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sheffield Utd 43%, draw 28%, Watford 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sheffield Utd €3.6M, Watford €4.1M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sheffield Utd goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 0–18%
- 2–08%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.5 pts
Team Elo: Sheffield Utd 1985 · Watford 1969
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sheffield Utd · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.8 (Good) · Elo 2048
Watford · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1999
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sheffield Utd
10th in Championship · 22 pts from 15
- 7 NovLCharlton England Championship1992
- 3 NovWPreston England Championship1978
- 30 OctWWrexham England Championship1959
- 24 OctDDerby England Championship1994
- 17 OctWBristol City England Championship1958
Watford
20th in Championship · 15 pts from 15
- 7 NovDMiddlesbrough England Championship1929
- 3 NovWLincoln England Championship1956
- 31 OctLNorwich England Championship1965
- 24 OctLWolves England Championship1984
- 17 OctWCharlton England Championship1969
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd | 22 /15 | 63.7 | <1% | 3% | 1% | 11th |
| Watford | 15 /15 | 56.7 | 0% | <1% | 8% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sheffield Utd: balanced profile (how C. Wilder plays) · Watford: dribble-heavy (how Alessio Dionisi plays)