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Championship · Regular Season - 9

Sheffield Utd 3–0 Lincoln

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Bramall Lane, Sheffield

Sheffield Utd crestSheffield UtdTeam 1954
3–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Lincoln crestLincolnTeam 1964

Match story

Sheffield Utd · draw · Lincoln

Before kick-off: 41% · 29% · 30%

Live chances: Sheffield Utd 100%, draw 0%, Lincoln 0% at 90+3'2' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 41%, draw 29%, Lincoln 30%3' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 41%, draw 29%, Lincoln 30%4' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 41%, draw 29%, Lincoln 30%5' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 40%, draw 29%, Lincoln 30%6' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 40%, draw 29%, Lincoln 30%7' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 40%, draw 30%, Lincoln 30%8' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 40%, draw 30%, Lincoln 30%9' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 40%, draw 30%, Lincoln 30%10' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 40%, draw 30%, Lincoln 30%11' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 40%, draw 30%, Lincoln 30%12' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 40%, draw 30%, Lincoln 30%14' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 39%, draw 31%, Lincoln 30%15' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 39%, draw 31%, Lincoln 30%17' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 39%, draw 31%, Lincoln 30%18' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 39%, draw 31%, Lincoln 30%19' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 39%, draw 32%, Lincoln 30%20' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 39%, draw 32%, Lincoln 30%21' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 38%, draw 32%, Lincoln 30%22' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 38%, draw 32%, Lincoln 29%23' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 38%, draw 32%, Lincoln 29%24' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 38%, draw 33%, Lincoln 29%25' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 38%, draw 33%, Lincoln 29%26' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 38%, draw 33%, Lincoln 29%28' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 37%, draw 33%, Lincoln 29%29' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 37%, draw 34%, Lincoln 29%30' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 37%, draw 34%, Lincoln 29%31' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 37%, draw 34%, Lincoln 29%32' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 37%, draw 34%, Lincoln 29%33' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 37%, draw 35%, Lincoln 29%35' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 36%, draw 35%, Lincoln 28%36' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 36%, draw 36%, Lincoln 28%38' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 36%, draw 36%, Lincoln 28%39' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 35%, draw 37%, Lincoln 28%40' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 35%, draw 37%, Lincoln 28%41' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 35%, draw 37%, Lincoln 28%42' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 35%, draw 38%, Lincoln 28%43' · 0–0 · Sheffield Utd 35%, draw 38%, Lincoln 28%44' · 1–0 · Sheffield Utd 72%, draw 21%, Lincoln 8%45' · 1–0 · Sheffield Utd 72%, draw 21%, Lincoln 8%45+1' · 1–0 · Sheffield Utd 72%, draw 21%, Lincoln 7%45+2' · 1–0 · Sheffield Utd 72%, draw 21%, Lincoln 7%45+4' · 1–0 · Sheffield Utd 72%, draw 21%, Lincoln 7%45+5' · 1–0 · Sheffield Utd 72%, draw 21%, Lincoln 7%HT · 1–0 · Sheffield Utd 72%, draw 21%, Lincoln 7%46' · 1–0 · Sheffield Utd 72%, draw 21%, Lincoln 7%47' · 1–0 · Sheffield Utd 73%, draw 20%, Lincoln 7%48' · 1–0 · Sheffield Utd 73%, draw 20%, Lincoln 7%49' · 1–0 · Sheffield Utd 73%, draw 20%, Lincoln 7%50' · 1–0 · Sheffield Utd 73%, draw 20%, Lincoln 6%51' · 1–0 · Sheffield Utd 73%, draw 20%, Lincoln 6%52' · 1–0 · Sheffield Utd 74%, draw 20%, Lincoln 6%53' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 95%, draw 4%, Lincoln 1%54' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 95%, draw 4%, Lincoln 1%55' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 95%, draw 4%, Lincoln 1%56' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 95%, draw 4%, Lincoln 1%57' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 95%, draw 4%, Lincoln 1%58' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 96%, draw 4%, Lincoln 1%59' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 96%, draw 4%, Lincoln 1%60' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 96%, draw 4%, Lincoln 1%61' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 96%, draw 4%, Lincoln 1%62' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 96%, draw 3%, Lincoln 0%63' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 96%, draw 3%, Lincoln 0%64' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 96%, draw 3%, Lincoln 0%65' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 97%, draw 3%, Lincoln 0%66' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 97%, draw 3%, Lincoln 0%67' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 97%, draw 3%, Lincoln 0%68' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 97%, draw 3%, Lincoln 0%69' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 97%, draw 3%, Lincoln 0%70' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 97%, draw 2%, Lincoln 0%71' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 97%, draw 2%, Lincoln 0%72' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 98%, draw 2%, Lincoln 0%73' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 98%, draw 2%, Lincoln 0%74' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 98%, draw 2%, Lincoln 0%75' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 98%, draw 2%, Lincoln 0%76' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 98%, draw 2%, Lincoln 0%77' · 2–0 · Sheffield Utd 98%, draw 2%, Lincoln 0%78' · 3–0 · Sheffield Utd 100%, draw 0%, Lincoln 0%79' · 3–0 · Sheffield Utd 100%, draw 0%, Lincoln 0%80' · 3–0 · Sheffield Utd 100%, draw 0%, Lincoln 0%81' · 3–0 · Sheffield Utd 100%, draw 0%, Lincoln 0%82' · 3–0 · Sheffield Utd 100%, draw 0%, Lincoln 0%83' · 3–0 · Sheffield Utd 100%, draw 0%, Lincoln 0%84' · 3–0 · Sheffield Utd 100%, draw 0%, Lincoln 0%85' · 3–0 · Sheffield Utd 100%, draw 0%, Lincoln 0%86' · 3–0 · Sheffield Utd 100%, draw 0%, Lincoln 0%87' · 3–0 · Sheffield Utd 100%, draw 0%, Lincoln 0%88' · 3–0 · Sheffield Utd 100%, draw 0%, Lincoln 0%89' · 3–0 · Sheffield Utd 100%, draw 0%, Lincoln 0%90' · 3–0 · Sheffield Utd 100%, draw 0%, Lincoln 0%90+1' · 3–0 · Sheffield Utd 100%, draw 0%, Lincoln 0%90+2' · 3–0 · Sheffield Utd 100%, draw 0%, Lincoln 0%90+3' · 3–0 · Sheffield Utd 100%, draw 0%, Lincoln 0%

Last reading, 90+3': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Sheffield Utd 41% to win: they did.

  1. 15'Sheffield Utd:Sam McCallum 2032 +25*
  2. 26'Lincoln:Conor McGrandles 1992 −23*
  3. 39'Sheffield Utd:Liam Kitching 2177 +23
  4. 43'Sheffield Utd:Patrick Bamford 1895 +50* assist Sam McCallum 2032 +25*
  5. 52'Sheffield Utd:Tahith Chong 1934 +49 assist Joe Rothwell 1975 +36*
  6. 62'Lincoln:Chiedozie Ogbene 1949 −5 for Ryley Towler 1999 −20*
  7. 62'Lincoln:Mikkel Ladefoged 1526 −8* for F. Draper 1924 −13*
  8. 62'Lincoln:Yunus Konak 1782 −8* for Conor McGrandles 1992 −23*
  9. 67'Lincoln:Deji Elerewe 1945 −19*
  10. 67'Sheffield Utd:Japhet Tanganga 1988 +41*
  11. 73'Sheffield Utd:Mark McGuinness 1962 +1* for Hamza Choudhury 2008 +27*
  12. 75'Sheffield Utd:Sydie Peck 2030 +35*
  13. 76'Lincoln:Tom Bayliss 1918 −16*
  14. 77'Sheffield Utd:Patrick Bamford 1895 +50* assist Ben Brereton 2029 +31*
  15. 78'Lincoln:Callum Elder 1976 −13* for Adam Reach 1925 −21*
  16. 78'Sheffield Utd:Romelle Donovan 1684 −3* for Tahith Chong 1934 +49
  17. 79'Lincoln:Thomas Hamer 2005 −10* for Dom Jefferies 1882 −10*
  18. 84'Sheffield Utd:Ryan One 1797 −6* for Ben Brereton 2029 +31*
  19. 85'Sheffield Utd:Jaïro Riedewald 1895 −9* for Joe Rothwell 1975 +36*
  20. 85'Sheffield Utd:Tyrese Campbell 1921 −7* for Thomas Cannon 2011 +15

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-2-2Formations3-4-2-1
GM. Cooper2007+38*
DH. Choudhury2008+27*
DJ. Tanganga1988+41*
DL. Kitching2177+23
DS. McCallum2032+25*
MSydie Peck2030+35*
MJ. Rothwell1975+36*
MT. Chong1934+49
MB. Brereton2029+31*
FT. Cannon2011+15
FP. Bamford1895+50*
CChris Wilder1988+25*
GG. Wickens2018−29*
DD. Elerewe1945−19*
DS. Bradley1996−34*
DR. Towler1999−20*
MD. Jefferies1882−10*
MT. Bayliss1918−16*
MC. McGrandles1992−23*
MA. Reach1925−21*
MR. Street1986−25*
MB. House1994−26*
FF. Draper1924−13*
CTom Shaw1793
Before kick-off: 41% · 29% · 30%(Sheffield Utd · draw · Lincoln)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 3–0 had 3%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Sheffield Utd €4.1M, Lincoln €833K.
  • Home advantage made Sheffield Utd the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Sheffield Utd

18th in Championship · 9 pts from 8

  • 19 SepLStoke City 1935
  • 16 SepLFleetwood Town 1924
  • 13 SepLWolves 1982
  • 8 SepWBlackburn 1954
  • 5 SepLNorwich 1946

Lincoln

12th in Championship · 11 pts from 8

  • 19 SepLSwansea 1981
  • 15 SepWBristol City 1973
  • 12 SepWPreston 1926
  • 8 SepLBournemouth 1848
  • 5 SepDSouthampton 1967

Season outlook

From the Championship simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Sheffield Utd9 /859.9<1%4%7%13th
Lincoln11 /862.4<1%6%4%10th
Sheffield Utd
Lincoln

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Championship

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Tanganga
J. Tanganga

Sheffield Utd · +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1947

S. Bradley
S. Bradley

Lincoln · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2030

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Christopher John Wilder

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Tom Shaw

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Sheffield Utd: balanced profile (how Christopher John Wilder plays) · Lincoln: direct (how Tom Shaw plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.