Championship · Regular Season - 12
Sheffield Utd vs Derby
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC · Bramall Lane, Sheffield
Sheffield Utd host Derby on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sheffield Utd 51%, draw 27%, Derby 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sheffield Utd €4.1M, Derby €2.5M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sheffield Utd goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.0 pts
Team Elo: Sheffield Utd 1982 · Derby 1872
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sheffield Utd · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.3 (Good) · Elo 2034
Derby · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1824
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sheffield Utd
11th in Championship · 15 pts from 11
- 17 OctWBristol City England Championship1962
- 14 OctLPortsmouth England Championship2005
- 10 OctWLincoln England Championship1972
- 19 SepLStoke City England Championship1935
- 16 SepLFleetwood Town England League Cup1924
Derby
23rd in Championship · 6 pts from 11
- 17 OctLStoke City England Championship1873
- 14 OctLQPR England Championship1891
- 10 OctDWrexham England Championship1900
- 19 SepDBurnley England Championship1874
- 12 SepLBirmingham England Championship1866
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd | 15 /11 | 63.4 | <1% | 6% | 2% | 9th |
| Derby | 6 /11 | 45.8 | 0% | 0% | 62% | 23rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sheffield Utd: balanced profile (how Christopher John Wilder plays) · Derby: direct (how John Mark Eustace plays)