Super League · Regular Season - 27
Shanghai Shenhua 7–1 Yunnan Yukun
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 11:35 UTC · Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai
Shanghai ShenhuaTeam 1778
Yunnan YukunTeam 1712Match story
Shanghai Shenhua · draw · Yunnan YukunBefore kick-off: 47% · 27% · 25%
Last reading, 90+3': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Rafael Ratao 12', 57', 75'
- Xie Pengfei 43'
- Jin Shunkai 53'
- Wang Haijian 62'
- Liu Chengyu 81'
- Cleber 31'
We gave Shanghai Shenhua 47% to win: they did.
- Rafael Ratao 1844 +38* assist J. Teixeira 1812 +30*12'
Shanghai Shenhua:Rafael Ratao 1844 +38* assist J. Teixeira 1812 +30* - 31'Cleber 1746 −36* assist O. Taty Maritu 1787 −38*
Yunnan Yukun:Cleber 1746 −36* assist O. Taty Maritu 1787 −38* - Xie Pengfei 1741 +40* assist J. Teixeira 1812 +30*43'
Shanghai Shenhua:Xie Pengfei 1741 +40* assist J. Teixeira 1812 +30* - 46'Abdusalam Bunyamin 1520 −8* for Duan Liuyu 1690 −10*
Yunnan Yukun:Abdusalam Bunyamin 1520 −8* for Duan Liuyu 1690 −10* - Jin Shunkai 1845 +48* assist J. Teixeira 1812 +30*53'
Shanghai Shenhua:Jin Shunkai 1845 +48* assist J. Teixeira 1812 +30* - Rafael Ratao 1844 +38*57'
Shanghai Shenhua:Rafael Ratao 1844 +38* - 61'Tsui Wang-Kit 1628 −9*
Yunnan Yukun:Tsui Wang-Kit 1628 −9* - Wang Haijian 1858 +45*62'
Shanghai Shenhua:Wang Haijian 1858 +45* - 66'Huang Zichang 1666 −9* for Deng Hanwen 1559 −11*
Yunnan Yukun:Huang Zichang 1666 −9* for Deng Hanwen 1559 −11* - Gao Tianyi 1813 −4* for J. Teixeira 1812 +30*67'
Shanghai Shenhua:Gao Tianyi 1813 −4* for J. Teixeira 1812 +30* - Xu Haoyang 1838 +5* for Xie Pengfei 1741 +40*67'
Shanghai Shenhua:Xu Haoyang 1838 +5* for Xie Pengfei 1741 +40* - Rafael Ratao 1844 +38* assist L. Asue 1887 +34*75'
Shanghai Shenhua:Rafael Ratao 1844 +38* assist L. Asue 1887 +34* - 76'J. Saeter – for A. Ionita II 1758 −35*
Yunnan Yukun:J. Saeter – for A. Ionita II 1758 −35* - 76'Ye Chugui 1612 −11* for Xu Xin 1768 −21*
Yunnan Yukun:Ye Chugui 1612 −11* for Xu Xin 1768 −21* - 77'Zhao Yuhao 1485 −13* for O. Taty Maritu 1787 −38*
Yunnan Yukun:Zhao Yuhao 1485 −13* for O. Taty Maritu 1787 −38* - Han Jiawen 1610 −4* for Rafael Ratao 1844 +38*79'
Shanghai Shenhua:Han Jiawen 1610 −4* for Rafael Ratao 1844 +38* - Liu Chengyu 1684 +1* for L. Asue 1887 +34*79'
Shanghai Shenhua:Liu Chengyu 1684 +1* for L. Asue 1887 +34* - Liu Chengyu 1684 +1* assist Xu Haoyang 1838 +5*81'
Shanghai Shenhua:Liu Chengyu 1684 +1* assist Xu Haoyang 1838 +5* - Yang Zexiang 1658 −8* for Wu Xi 1817 +35*83'
Shanghai Shenhua:Yang Zexiang 1658 −8* for Wu Xi 1817 +35*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 47% · 27% · 25%(Shanghai Shenhua · draw · Yunnan Yukun)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 7–1 had <1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Shanghai Shenhua €642K, Yunnan Yukun €397K.
- Style contrast in possession (Super League): Shanghai Shenhua ranked #4 of 18, Yunnan Yukun #17.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Shanghai Shenhua
8th in Super League · 31 pts from 26
- 6 SepWChongqing Tongliang Long Chinese Super League1772
- 28 AugLShandong Luneng Chinese Super League1788
- 22 AugWChengdu Better City Chinese Super League1763
- 18 AugLBeijing Guoan Chinese Super League1765
- 15 AugWHenan Jianye Chinese Super League1749
Yunnan Yukun
4th in Super League · 38 pts from 26
- 6 SepWShenyang Urban Chinese Super League1693
- 29 AugLHangzhou Greentown Chinese Super League1670
- 22 AugDBeijing Guoan Chinese Super League1660
- 15 AugWDalian Zhixing Chinese Super League1662
- 8 AugWChengdu Better City Chinese Super League1634
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Shenhua | 31 /26 | 37.6 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 8th |
| Yunnan Yukun | 38 /26 | 43.8 | 0% | 53% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Shanghai Shenhua · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1783

Yunnan Yukun · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Good) · Elo 1824
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Shanghai Shenhua: shot-heavy · creative (how Vladan Milojević plays) · Yunnan Yukun: direct (how Jordi Vinyals Martori plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.