Super League · Regular Season - 30
Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 07:30 UTC · Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai
Shanghai Shenhua host Qingdao Youth Island on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Shanghai Shenhua 59%, draw 24%, Qingdao Youth Island 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Shanghai Shenhua €784K, Qingdao Youth Island €268K.
- Super League: Xue Qinghao is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1897).
- Style contrast in attacking (Super League): Shanghai Shenhua rank #1 of 18, Qingdao Youth Island #16.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Shanghai Shenhua goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 3–07%
- 0–06%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Shanghai Shenhua 1836 · Qingdao Youth Island 1636
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Shanghai Shenhua · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 1833
Qingdao Youth Island · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1748
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Shanghai Shenhua
8th in Super League · 37 pts from 28
- 18 OctWWuhan Three Towns Chinese Super League1823
- 15 OctDSvay Rieng AFC Cup1810
- 10 OctWYunnan Yukun Chinese Super League1815
- 6 SepWChongqing Tongliang Long Chinese Super League1772
- 28 AugLShandong Luneng Chinese Super League1788
Qingdao Youth Island
7th in Super League · 38 pts from 28
- 18 OctLBeijing Guoan Chinese Super League1657
- 11 OctLDalian Zhixing Chinese Super League1641
- 5 SepDWuhan Three Towns Chinese Super League1661
- 29 AugDTianjin Teda Chinese Super League1679
- 22 AugWShandong Luneng Chinese Super League1663
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Shenhua | 37 /28 | 40.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 7th |
| Qingdao Youth Island | 38 /28 | 40.2 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Shanghai Shenhua: shot-heavy · creative (how Vladan Milojević plays) · Qingdao Youth Island: balanced profile (how Bowen Huang plays)