Super League · Regular Season - 28
Shandong Luneng 5–0 Hangzhou Greentown
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Jinan Olympic Sports Center, Jinan
Shandong LunengTeam 1713
Hangzhou GreentownTeam 1667Match story
Shandong Luneng · draw · Hangzhou GreentownBefore kick-off: 46% · 28% · 26%
Last reading, 90+3': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Guilherme Madruga 20'
- Xie Wenneng 40'
- V. Qazaishvili 45+5', 79'
- Cryzan 90+2'
We gave Shandong Luneng 46% to win: they did.
- 17'Xu Junchi 1639 0
Hangzhou Greentown:Xu Junchi 1639 0 - Guilherme Madruga 1795 +31 assist Cryzan 1814 +17*20'
Shandong Luneng:Guilherme Madruga 1795 +31 assist Cryzan 1814 +17* - 23'Tong Lei 1740 −9 for M. Tolic 1768 −6
Hangzhou Greentown:Tong Lei 1740 −9 for M. Tolic 1768 −6 - Mijit Mewlan 1646 +3737'
Shandong Luneng:Mijit Mewlan 1646 +37 - Xie Wenneng 1812 +24 assist V. Qazaishvili 1733 +3540'
Shandong Luneng:Xie Wenneng 1812 +24 assist V. Qazaishvili 1733 +35 - V. Qazaishvili 1733 +35 assist Cryzan 1814 +17*45+5'
Shandong Luneng:V. Qazaishvili 1733 +35 assist Cryzan 1814 +17* - 46'Cheng Jin 1711 −15 for Wu Wei 1527 −2
Hangzhou Greentown:Cheng Jin 1711 −15 for Wu Wei 1527 −2 - Memet Imran 1501 +25 for Y. Li 1692 +17*61'
Shandong Luneng:Memet Imran 1501 +25 for Y. Li 1692 +17* - Chen Pu 1778 +8 for Mijit Mewlan 1646 +3761'
Shandong Luneng:Chen Pu 1778 +8 for Mijit Mewlan 1646 +37 - Huang Zhengyu 1770 +2864'
Shandong Luneng:Huang Zhengyu 1770 +28 - 76'Wang Shiqin 1558 −8* for Sun Guowen 1727 −13
Hangzhou Greentown:Wang Shiqin 1558 −8* for Sun Guowen 1727 −13 - Shi Songchen 1569 +8 for Xie Wenneng 1812 +2478'
Shandong Luneng:Shi Songchen 1569 +8 for Xie Wenneng 1812 +24 - Chen Zeshi 1571 +3 for Huang Zhengyu 1770 +2878'
Shandong Luneng:Chen Zeshi 1571 +3 for Huang Zhengyu 1770 +28 - V. Qazaishvili 1733 +35 assist Chen Pu 1778 +879'
Shandong Luneng:V. Qazaishvili 1733 +35 assist Chen Pu 1778 +8 - 81'Liu Haofan 1772 −14
Hangzhou Greentown:Liu Haofan 1772 −14 - Cryzan 1814 +17* (penalty missed) assist Cryzan 1814 +17*83'
Shandong Luneng:Cryzan 1814 +17* (penalty missed) assist Cryzan 1814 +17* - 88'Cheng Jin 1711 −15
Hangzhou Greentown:Cheng Jin 1711 −15 - Yin Jiaxi 1191 −7* for Peng Xiao 1756 +3889'
Shandong Luneng:Yin Jiaxi 1191 −7* for Peng Xiao 1756 +38 - Cryzan 1814 +17*90+2'
Shandong Luneng:Cryzan 1814 +17*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 46% · 28% · 26%(Shandong Luneng · draw · Hangzhou Greentown)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 5–0 had 1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Shandong Luneng €431K, Hangzhou Greentown €451K.
- Home advantage made Shandong Luneng the favourite: it added 7 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Super League): Shandong Luneng ranked #1 of 18, Hangzhou Greentown #18.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Shandong Luneng
4th in Super League · 38 pts from 27
- 11 OctDChongqing Tongliang Long Chinese Super League1717
- 5 SepDSichuan Jiuniu Chinese Super League1762
- 28 AugWShanghai Shenhua Chinese Super League1629
- 22 AugLQingdao Youth Island Chinese Super League1733
- 14 AugWQingdao Jonoon Chinese Super League1738
Hangzhou Greentown
11th in Super League · 31 pts from 27
- 9 OctLShanghai SIPG Chinese Super League1748
- 18 SepWWuhan Three Towns Chinese Super League1683
- 6 SepLTianjin Teda Chinese Super League1769
- 29 AugWYunnan Yukun Chinese Super League1733
- 22 AugDSichuan Jiuniu Chinese Super League1720
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Luneng | 38 /27 | 42.2 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 5th |
| Hangzhou Greentown | 31 /27 | 35.1 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Shandong Luneng · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Elite) · Elo 1798

Hangzhou Greentown · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 1773
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Shandong Luneng: dribble-heavy (how Tian Tang plays) · Hangzhou Greentown: possession-based · low-block (how Ross Aloisi plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.