Super League · Regular Season - 30
Shandong Luneng vs Chengdu Better City
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 07:30 UTC · Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Jinan
Shandong Luneng host Chengdu Better City on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Shandong Luneng 39%, draw 29%, Chengdu Better City 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Shandong Luneng €494K, Chengdu Better City €512K.
- Home advantage makes Shandong Luneng the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Super League): Shandong Luneng rank #1 of 18, Chengdu Better City #15.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Shandong Luneng goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Shandong Luneng 1721 · Chengdu Better City 1755
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Shandong Luneng · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Elite) · Elo 1814
Chengdu Better City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1788
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Shandong Luneng
4th in Super League · 41 pts from 28
- 17 OctWHangzhou Greentown Chinese Super League1733
- 11 OctDChongqing Tongliang Long Chinese Super League1717
- 5 SepDSichuan Jiuniu Chinese Super League1762
- 28 AugWShanghai Shenhua Chinese Super League1629
- 22 AugLQingdao Youth Island Chinese Super League1733
Chengdu Better City
1st in Super League · 52 pts from 28
- 18 OctLShanghai SIPG Chinese Super League1727
- 10 OctLTianjin Teda Chinese Super League1804
- 6 SepDHenan Jianye Chinese Super League1831
- 29 AugWShenyang Urban Chinese Super League1810
- 22 AugLShanghai Shenhua Chinese Super League1828
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Luneng | 41 /28 | 43.9 | 0% | 53% | 0% | 4th |
| Chengdu Better City | 52 /28 | 55.0 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Shandong Luneng: dribble-heavy (how Tian Tang plays) · Chengdu Better City: balanced profile (how John Aloisi plays)