Premier Division · Regular Season - 35
Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
Shamrock Rovers host Sligo Rovers on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Premier Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Shamrock Rovers 61%, draw 23%, Sligo Rovers 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Shamrock Rovers €338K, Sligo Rovers €204K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premier Division matchday 35: 237 points.
- Premier Division: E. McGinty is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1725).
- Style contrast in discipline (Premier Division): Shamrock Rovers rank #3 of 11, Sligo Rovers #11.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Shamrock Rovers goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Shamrock Rovers 1638 · Sligo Rovers 1401
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Shamrock Rovers · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.1 (Good) · Elo 1612
Sligo Rovers · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1430
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Shamrock Rovers
1st in Premier Division · 65 pts from 34
- 16 OctLGalway United Irish Premier Division1683
- 12 OctWBohemians Irish Premier Division1653
- 8 OctWDrogheda United Irish Premier Division1660
- 18 SepWWaterford Irish Premier Division1603
- 11 SepLSt Patrick's Athl. Irish Premier Division1655
Sligo Rovers
10th in Premier Division · 24 pts from 34
- 17 OctDDundalk Irish Premier Division1378
- 9 OctLShelbourne Irish Premier Division1387
- 19 SepLSt Patrick's Athl. Irish Premier Division1368
- 14 SepLGalway United Irish Premier Division1395
- 11 SepLDrogheda United Irish Premier Division1415
Season outlook
From the Premier Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers | 65 /34 | 68.7 | 86% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Sligo Rovers | 24 /34 | 25.8 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Shamrock Rovers: possession-based (how Stephen Bradley plays) · Sligo Rovers: balanced profile (how Darren John Purse plays)