Premier Division · Regular Season - 33
Shamrock Rovers 3–1 Drogheda United
Thu 8 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
Shamrock RoversTeam 1648Drogheda UnitedTeam 1426We gave Shamrock Rovers 60% to win: they did.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 60% · 23% · 17%(Shamrock Rovers · draw · Drogheda United)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 3–1 had 7%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Shamrock Rovers €434K, Drogheda United €267K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premier Division matchday 33: 174 points.
- Premier Division: E. McGinty was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1716).
- Style contrast in possession (Premier Division): Shamrock Rovers ranked #1 of 11, Drogheda United #11.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Shamrock Rovers
3rd in Premier Division · 59 pts from 31
- 18 SepWWaterford Irish Premier Division1603
- 11 SepLSt Patrick's Athl. Irish Premier Division1655
- 4 SepDShelbourne Irish Premier Division1667
- 30 AugDDerry City Irish Premier Division1632
- 27 AugLKuPS UEFA Conference League1603
Drogheda United
9th in Premier Division · 34 pts from 32
- 18 SepLBohemians Irish Premier Division1470
- 14 SepWShelbourne Irish Premier Division1443
- 11 SepWSligo Rovers Irish Premier Division1425
- 28 AugLDundalk Irish Premier Division1435
- 21 AugLSt Patrick's Athl. Irish Premier Division1412
Season outlook
From the Premier Division simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers | 59 /31 | 67.8 | 57% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Drogheda United | 34 /32 | 38.6 | 0% | <1% | 87% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Shamrock Rovers · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1745
Drogheda United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1495
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Shamrock Rovers: possession-based (how Stephen Bradley plays) · Drogheda United: direct (how Kevin Doherty plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.