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Premier Division · Regular Season - 30

Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians

Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Tallaght Stadium, Dublin

Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock RoversTeam 1659
2–1
Full time
HT 1–0
Bohemians crestBohemiansTeam 1565

Match story

Shamrock Rovers · draw · Bohemians

Before kick-off: 50% · 26% · 24%

Live chances: Shamrock Rovers 97%, draw 3%, Bohemians 0% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 50%, draw 26%, Bohemians 24%2' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 49%, draw 26%, Bohemians 24%3' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 49%, draw 26%, Bohemians 24%4' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 49%, draw 27%, Bohemians 24%5' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 49%, draw 27%, Bohemians 24%6' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 49%, draw 27%, Bohemians 24%7' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 49%, draw 27%, Bohemians 24%8' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 49%, draw 27%, Bohemians 24%9' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 48%, draw 27%, Bohemians 24%10' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 48%, draw 28%, Bohemians 24%11' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 48%, draw 28%, Bohemians 24%12' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 48%, draw 28%, Bohemians 24%13' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 48%, draw 28%, Bohemians 24%14' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 47%, draw 28%, Bohemians 24%15' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 47%, draw 28%, Bohemians 24%16' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 47%, draw 29%, Bohemians 24%17' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 47%, draw 29%, Bohemians 24%18' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 47%, draw 29%, Bohemians 24%19' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 47%, draw 29%, Bohemians 24%20' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 46%, draw 29%, Bohemians 24%21' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 46%, draw 30%, Bohemians 24%22' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 46%, draw 30%, Bohemians 24%23' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 46%, draw 30%, Bohemians 24%24' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 46%, draw 30%, Bohemians 24%26' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 45%, draw 31%, Bohemians 24%27' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 45%, draw 31%, Bohemians 24%28' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 45%, draw 31%, Bohemians 24%30' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 44%, draw 32%, Bohemians 24%31' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 44%, draw 32%, Bohemians 24%32' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 44%, draw 32%, Bohemians 24%33' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 44%, draw 32%, Bohemians 24%34' · 0–0 · Shamrock Rovers 43%, draw 33%, Bohemians 24%35' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 75%, draw 18%, Bohemians 7%36' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 75%, draw 18%, Bohemians 7%37' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 75%, draw 18%, Bohemians 7%38' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 76%, draw 18%, Bohemians 7%39' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 76%, draw 18%, Bohemians 7%40' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 76%, draw 18%, Bohemians 7%41' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 76%, draw 18%, Bohemians 6%42' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 76%, draw 18%, Bohemians 6%43' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 76%, draw 18%, Bohemians 6%44' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 76%, draw 18%, Bohemians 6%45' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 76%, draw 18%, Bohemians 6%45+1' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 76%, draw 18%, Bohemians 6%45+2' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 76%, draw 18%, Bohemians 6%45+3' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 76%, draw 18%, Bohemians 6%HT · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 76%, draw 18%, Bohemians 6%46' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 76%, draw 18%, Bohemians 6%47' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 76%, draw 18%, Bohemians 6%48' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 77%, draw 18%, Bohemians 6%49' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 77%, draw 18%, Bohemians 5%50' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 77%, draw 18%, Bohemians 5%51' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 77%, draw 18%, Bohemians 5%52' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 77%, draw 18%, Bohemians 5%53' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 77%, draw 18%, Bohemians 5%54' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 77%, draw 18%, Bohemians 5%55' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 78%, draw 18%, Bohemians 5%56' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 78%, draw 18%, Bohemians 5%57' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 78%, draw 18%, Bohemians 4%59' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 78%, draw 17%, Bohemians 4%61' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 79%, draw 17%, Bohemians 4%62' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 79%, draw 17%, Bohemians 4%63' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 79%, draw 17%, Bohemians 4%65' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 80%, draw 17%, Bohemians 3%66' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 80%, draw 17%, Bohemians 3%67' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 80%, draw 16%, Bohemians 3%68' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 81%, draw 16%, Bohemians 3%69' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 81%, draw 16%, Bohemians 3%70' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 81%, draw 16%, Bohemians 3%71' · 1–0 · Shamrock Rovers 82%, draw 16%, Bohemians 3%72' · 1–1 · Shamrock Rovers 26%, draw 56%, Bohemians 18%73' · 1–1 · Shamrock Rovers 26%, draw 57%, Bohemians 17%74' · 1–1 · Shamrock Rovers 25%, draw 58%, Bohemians 17%75' · 1–1 · Shamrock Rovers 24%, draw 59%, Bohemians 16%76' · 2–1 · Shamrock Rovers 84%, draw 14%, Bohemians 2%77' · 2–1 · Shamrock Rovers 84%, draw 14%, Bohemians 2%78' · 2–1 · Shamrock Rovers 85%, draw 14%, Bohemians 2%79' · 2–1 · Shamrock Rovers 85%, draw 13%, Bohemians 2%80' · 2–1 · Shamrock Rovers 86%, draw 13%, Bohemians 1%81' · 2–1 · Shamrock Rovers 86%, draw 13%, Bohemians 1%82' · 2–1 · Shamrock Rovers 87%, draw 12%, Bohemians 1%83' · 2–1 · Shamrock Rovers 87%, draw 12%, Bohemians 1%84' · 2–1 · Shamrock Rovers 88%, draw 11%, Bohemians 1%85' · 2–1 · Shamrock Rovers 89%, draw 10%, Bohemians 1%86' · 2–1 · Shamrock Rovers 89%, draw 10%, Bohemians 1%87' · 2–1 · Shamrock Rovers 90%, draw 9%, Bohemians 1%88' · 2–1 · Shamrock Rovers 91%, draw 9%, Bohemians 0%89' · 2–1 · Shamrock Rovers 92%, draw 8%, Bohemians 0%90' · 2–1 · Shamrock Rovers 93%, draw 7%, Bohemians 0%90+1' · 2–1 · Shamrock Rovers 94%, draw 6%, Bohemians 0%90+2' · 2–1 · Shamrock Rovers 95%, draw 5%, Bohemians 0%90+3' · 2–1 · Shamrock Rovers 96%, draw 4%, Bohemians 0%90+4' · 2–1 · Shamrock Rovers 97%, draw 3%, Bohemians 0%

Last reading, 90+4': 97% · 3% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Shamrock Rovers 50% to win: they did.

  1. 9'Shamrock Rovers:Daniel Cleary 1688 +10
  2. 15'Bohemians:Ryan Burke 1420 −8* for Adam McDonnell 1480 −9*
  3. 34'Shamrock Rovers:John McGovern 1602 +43 assist Graham Burke 1685 +26
  4. 60'Bohemians:James Taylor 1583 −5 for Dayle Rooney 1515 −1
  5. 60'Bohemians:Markuss Strods 1284 0 for Colm Whelan 1539 −2
  6. 65'Shamrock Rovers:John O'Reilly-O'Sullivan 1367 +8 for Jack Byrne 1672 +7
  7. 66'Shamrock Rovers:Matthew Healy 1711 +11
  8. 68'Bohemians:Markuss Strods 1284 0
  9. 71'Bohemians:Ross Tierney 1633 −27 assist James Taylor 1583 −5
  10. 76'Shamrock Rovers:Dylan Watts 1690 +30 assist Lee Grace 1627 +10
  11. 79'Bohemians:Dawson Devoy 1638 −10
  12. 79'Shamrock Rovers:John O'Reilly-O'Sullivan 1367 +8
  13. 80'Shamrock Rovers:Jonathan Afolabi 1559 +5 for John McGovern 1602 +43
  14. 80'Shamrock Rovers:Cory O'Sullivan 1717 +1 for William Fitzgerald 1496 +12*
  15. 80'Shamrock Rovers:Aaron Greene 1294 −5 for Graham Burke 1685 +26
  16. 81'Bohemians:Sadou Diallo 1538 −1 for Ryan Burke 1420 −8*
  17. 81'Bohemians:Harry Patrick Vaughan 1464 0 for Connor Parsons 1578 −5
  18. 85'Shamrock Rovers:Najemedine Razi 1186 +4 for Dylan Watts 1690 +30
  19. 90+3'Shamrock Rovers:Stephen Bradley

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-2-1Formations4-2-3-1
GE. McGinty1743+26
DD. Cleary1688+10
DPico1754+2
DL. Grace1627+10
MT. Sobowale1722+10
MM. Healy1711+11
MJ. Byrne1672+7
MW. Fitzgerald1496+12*
MD. Watts1690+30
MG. Burke1685+26
FJ. McGovern1602+43
CS. Bradley1739+18
GP. Walters1607−7
DD. Power1600−7
DP. Hickey1579−6
DS. Todd1530−10*
DJ. Flores1577−8
MD. Devoy1638−10
MA. McDonnell1480−9*
MD. Rooney1515−1
MR. Tierney1633−27
MC. Parsons1578−5
FC. Whelan1539−2
CA. Reynolds1604−13
Before kick-off: 50% · 26% · 24%(Shamrock Rovers · draw · Bohemians)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 2–1 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Shamrock Rovers €290K, Bohemians €235K.
  • Premier Division: E. McGinty was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1718).
  • Style contrast in discipline (Premier Division): Shamrock Rovers ranked #3 of 11, Bohemians #9.
  • Bohemians had won their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Shamrock Rovers

1st in Premier Division · 62 pts from 32

  • 8 OctWDrogheda United 1660
  • 18 SepWWaterford 1603
  • 11 SepLSt Patrick's Athl. 1655
  • 4 SepDShelbourne 1667
  • 30 AugDDerry City 1632

Bohemians

3rd in Premier Division · 59 pts from 32

  • 2 OctWDundalk 1573
  • 18 SepWDrogheda United 1557
  • 11 SepWGalway United 1556
  • 28 AugWSligo Rovers 1534
  • 21 AugWDerry City 1504

Season outlook

From the Premier Division simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Shamrock Rovers62 /3269.079%100%0%1st
Bohemians59 /3264.614%100%0%3rd
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier Division

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

M. Healy
M. Healy

Shamrock Rovers · +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 1701

D. Devoy
D. Devoy

Bohemians · +6.3 (Elite) · Elo 1648

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Stephen Bradley

Coach DNA: possession-based

Alan Reynolds

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Shamrock Rovers: possession-based (how Stephen Bradley plays) · Bohemians: balanced profile (how Alan Reynolds plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.