Premier League · Regular Season - 11
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Obolon Arena, Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk host Obolon'-Brovar on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Shakhtar Donetsk 84%, draw 11%, Obolon'-Brovar 5%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Shakhtar Donetsk €5.6M, Obolon'-Brovar €283K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Premier League matchday 11: 547 points.
- Draw chance 11%, below the Premier League average of 25% this round.
- Premier League: D. Riznyk is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2191).
- Style contrast in discipline (Premier League): Shakhtar Donetsk rank #1 of 15, Obolon'-Brovar #14.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Shakhtar Donetsk goals first.
- 3–010%
- 2–09%
- 4–08%
- 3–18%
- 2–17%
- 4–17%
- Other scores51%
Team Elo: Shakhtar Donetsk 1991 · Obolon'-Brovar 1444
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Shakhtar Donetsk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2128
Obolon'-Brovar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1442
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Shakhtar Donetsk
1st in Premier League · 24 pts from 9
- 21 OctLInter UEFA Champions League2065
- 17 OctWKolos Kovalivka Ukraine Premier League1888
- 14 OctWAEK Athens FC UEFA Champions League2058
- 9 OctWVeres Rivne Ukraine Premier League2055
- 20 SepWLNZ Cherkasy Ukraine Premier League1967
Obolon'-Brovar
13th in Premier League · 7 pts from 8
- 16 OctWVeres Rivne Ukraine Premier League1392
- 18 SepDChornomorets Ukraine Premier League1436
- 12 SepLLNZ Cherkasy Ukraine Premier League1438
- 5 SepLFC Kharkiv Ukraine Premier League1418
- 28 AugDKolos Kovalivka Ukraine Premier League1420
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 24 /9 | 72.5 | 89% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Obolon'-Brovar | 7 /8 | 29.0 | 0% | 0% | 37% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Shakhtar Donetsk: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Arda Turan plays) · Obolon'-Brovar: direct (how Oleksandr Antonenko plays)