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Premier League · Regular Season - 9

Shakhtar Donetsk 2–1 Kolos Kovalivka

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Arena Lviv, Lviv

Shakhtar Donetsk crestShakhtar DonetskTeam 2015
2–1
Full time
HT 2–0
Kolos Kovalivka crestKolos KovalivkaTeam 1569

We gave Shakhtar Donetsk 78% to win: they did.

  1. 10'Shakhtar Donetsk:Vinícius Tobias – assist Alan Matturro –
  2. 36'Shakhtar Donetsk:Valeriy Bondar – assist Egor Nazaryna –
  3. 45'Kolos Kovalivka:Luka Stankovski – for Arinaldo Rrapaj –
  4. 51'Shakhtar Donetsk:Vinícius Tobias –
  5. 58'Shakhtar Donetsk:A. Turan
  6. 58'Shakhtar Donetsk:Mykola Matvienko – for Alan Matturro –
  7. 58'Shakhtar Donetsk:Gleiker Mendoza – for Prosper Obah –
  8. 58'Shakhtar Donetsk:Lassina Traore – for Luca Meirelles –
  9. 60'Kolos Kovalivka:Mykyta Burda –
  10. 61'Kolos Kovalivka:Andriy Tsurikov –
  11. 70'Kolos Kovalivka:Ardit Tahiri – for Denys Ndukve –
  12. 70'Kolos Kovalivka:Irgi Kasalla – for Ibrahim Kane –
  13. 71'Kolos Kovalivka:Anton Salabay –
  14. 71'Shakhtar Donetsk:Pedrinho – for Isaque
  15. 80'Kolos Kovalivka:Daniil Denysenko – for Oleksandr Demchenko –
  16. 84'Kolos Kovalivka:Ardit Tahiri – assist Luka Stankovski –
  17. 87'Shakhtar Donetsk:Oleg Ocheretko – for Dmytro Kryskiv –
  18. 88'Kolos Kovalivka:Dmytro Sukhonos – for Anton Salabay –
  19. 90'Kolos Kovalivka:Andriy Tsurikov –
Before kick-off (provisional): 78% · 15% · 8%(Shakhtar Donetsk · draw · Kolos Kovalivka)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (10%); the result 2–1 had 9%.

  • Average value of the expected XI: Shakhtar Donetsk €5.7M, Kolos Kovalivka €515K.
  • Largest team-Elo gap of Premier League matchday 9: 446 points.
  • Draw chance was 15%, below the Premier League average of 24% this round.
  • Premier League: D. Riznyk was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2195).
  • Style contrast in attacking (Premier League): Shakhtar Donetsk ranked #1 of 15, Kolos Kovalivka #12.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Shakhtar Donetsk

1st in Premier League · 21 pts from 8

  • 14 OctWAEK Athens FC 2058
  • 9 OctWVeres Rivne 2055
  • 20 SepWLNZ Cherkasy 1967
  • 14 SepWChornomorets 1924
  • 10 SepDPSV Eindhoven 2001

Kolos Kovalivka

9th in Premier League · 8 pts from 7

  • 10 OctWEpitsentr Dunayivtsi 1561
  • 5 SepDKryvbas KR 1542
  • 28 AugDObolon'-Brovar 1546
  • 16 AugLDynamo Kyiv 1581
  • 31 JulLZorya Luhansk 1574

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Shakhtar Donetsk21 /873.091%100%0%1st
Kolos Kovalivka8 /737.30%1%3%8th
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kolos Kovalivka

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

V. Bondar
V. Bondar

Shakhtar Donetsk · +0.4 (Average) · Elo 2122

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Arda Turan

Coach DNA: possession-based

Ruslan Kostyshyn

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Shakhtar Donetsk: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Arda Turan plays) · Kolos Kovalivka: balanced profile (how Ruslan Kostyshyn plays)