Premier League · Regular Season - 12
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kyiv
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Arena Lviv, Lviv
Shakhtar Donetsk host Dynamo Kyiv on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Shakhtar Donetsk 55%, draw 25%, Dynamo Kyiv 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Shakhtar Donetsk €5.6M, Dynamo Kyiv €1.6M.
- Premier League: D. Riznyk is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2191).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Shakhtar Donetsk goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Shakhtar Donetsk 1991 · Dynamo Kyiv 1828
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Shakhtar Donetsk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2128
Dynamo Kyiv · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1963
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Shakhtar Donetsk
1st in Premier League · 24 pts from 9
- 21 OctLInter UEFA Champions League2065
- 17 OctWKolos Kovalivka Ukraine Premier League1888
- 14 OctWAEK Athens FC UEFA Champions League2058
- 9 OctWVeres Rivne Ukraine Premier League2055
- 20 SepWLNZ Cherkasy Ukraine Premier League1967
Dynamo Kyiv
4th in Premier League · 16 pts from 8
- 18 OctLPolessya Ukraine Premier League1838
- 11 OctWKarpaty Ukraine Premier League1792
- 19 SepWZorya Luhansk Ukraine Premier League1766
- 14 SepWEpitsentr Dunayivtsi Ukraine Premier League1763
- 6 SepDLNZ Cherkasy Ukraine Premier League1771
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 24 /9 | 72.5 | 89% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 16 /8 | 59.1 | 3% | 93% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Shakhtar Donetsk: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Arda Turan plays) · Dynamo Kyiv: possession-based (how Igor Kostyuk plays)