La Liga · Regular Season - 13
Sevilla vs Real Betis
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Sevilla host Real Betis on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (La Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sevilla 31%, draw 29%, Real Betis 40%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sevilla €10.0M, Real Betis €13.2M.
- All 11 of Real Betis' expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sevilla goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–29%
- 0–18%
- 2–17%
- 1–07%
- 0–07%
- Other scores48%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–2expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Sevilla 2101 · Real Betis 2279
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sevilla · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2182
Real Betis · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 2333
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sevilla
6th in La Liga · 18 pts from 12
- 6 NovDAlaves La Liga2147
- 1 NovLGetafe La Liga2141
- 26 OctWOsasuna La Liga2123
- 18 OctLReal Madrid La Liga2136
- 12 OctDLevante La Liga2045
Real Betis
4th in La Liga · 26 pts from 12
- 8 NovWElche La Liga2293
- 4 NovLBorussia Dortmund UEFA Champions League2249
- 31 OctWMalaga La Liga2285
- 25 OctDCelta Vigo La Liga2257
- 21 OctWFeyenoord UEFA Champions League2289
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 18 /12 | 54.6 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 7th |
| Real Betis | 26 /12 | 72.6 | 0% | 79% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sevilla: balanced profile (how Luis García plays) · Real Betis: balanced profile (how M. Pellegrini plays)