La Liga · Regular Season - 10
Sevilla vs Osasuna
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Sevilla
Sevilla host Osasuna on Mon 26 Oct 2026 (La Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sevilla 58%, draw 24%, Osasuna 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sevilla €8.2M, Osasuna €2.8M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sevilla goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–07%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.3 pts
Team Elo: Sevilla 2070 · Osasuna 1912
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sevilla · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2216
Osasuna · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1720
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sevilla
6th in La Liga · 14 pts from 9
- 18 OctLReal Madrid La Liga2142
- 12 OctDLevante La Liga2052
- 19 SepLBarcelona La Liga2110
- 16 SepWDeportivo La Coruna La Liga2077
- 11 SepWValencia La Liga2078
Osasuna
10th in La Liga · 11 pts from 9
- 18 OctWRacing Santander La Liga1918
- 11 OctLReal Betis La Liga1879
- 19 SepDRayo Vallecano La Liga1865
- 16 SepLAtletico Madrid La Liga1836
- 12 SepLEspanyol La Liga1906
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 14 /9 | 54.4 | 0% | 2% | <1% | 7th |
| Osasuna | 11 /9 | 39.0 | 0% | 0% | 26% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sevilla: balanced profile (how Luis García Plaza plays) · Osasuna: direct (how Jagoba Arrasate Elustondo plays)