La Liga · Regular Season - 12
Sevilla vs Alaves
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Sevilla host Alaves on Fri 6 Nov 2026 (La Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sevilla 56%, draw 25%, Alaves 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sevilla €7.7M, Alaves €3.1M.
- All 11 of Alaves' expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sevilla goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.2 pts
Team Elo: Sevilla 2057 · Alaves 1922
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sevilla · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2216
Alaves · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1963
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sevilla
6th in La Liga · 14 pts from 9
- 18 OctLReal Madrid La Liga2142
- 12 OctDLevante La Liga2052
- 19 SepLBarcelona La Liga2110
- 16 SepWDeportivo La Coruna La Liga2077
- 11 SepWValencia La Liga2078
Alaves
7th in La Liga · 11 pts from 9
- 18 OctLCelta Vigo La Liga1979
- 10 OctLAtletico Madrid La Liga1964
- 19 SepDAthletic Club La Liga1924
- 15 SepLValencia La Liga1966
- 12 SepLRacing Santander La Liga1947
Season outlook
From the La Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 14 /9 | 53.7 | 0% | 2% | <1% | 7th |
| Alaves | 11 /9 | 40.0 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sevilla: balanced profile (how Luis García plays) · Alaves: direct (how Quique Sánchez Flores plays)