Challenger Pro League · Regular Season - 11
Seraing United vs Patro Eisden
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stade du Pairay, Seraing
Seraing United host Patro Eisden on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Challenger Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Seraing United 29%, draw 28%, Patro Eisden 43%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Seraing United €251K, Patro Eisden €422K.
- Style contrast in attacking (Challenger Pro League): Seraing United rank #14 of 15, Patro Eisden #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Seraing United goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–07%
- 0–27%
- 1–07%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Seraing United 1419 · Patro Eisden 1565
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Seraing United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1497
Patro Eisden · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1747
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Seraing United
12th in Challenger Pro League · 8 pts from 10
- 7 NovLFrancs Borains Belgium Challenger Pro League1467
- 30 OctWLiège Belgium Challenger Pro League1447
- 24 OctWExcelsior Virton Belgium Challenger Pro League1366
- 11 OctLKAA Gent II Belgium Challenger Pro League1391
- 19 SepDKRC Genk II Belgium Challenger Pro League1377
Patro Eisden
5th in Challenger Pro League · 15 pts from 10
- 6 NovWSporting Hasselt Belgium Challenger Pro League1564
- 31 OctWLokeren-Temse Belgium Challenger Pro League1528
- 25 OctWLiège Belgium Challenger Pro League1492
- 11 OctWKRC Genk II Belgium Challenger Pro League1452
- 20 SepLDender Belgium Challenger Pro League1530
Season outlook
From the Challenger Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seraing United | 8 /10 | 28.5 | 0% | <1% | 59% | 14th |
| Patro Eisden | 15 /10 | 42.9 | <1% | 39% | 1% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 15th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Seraing United: direct · low-volume (how Arnauld Mercier plays) · Patro Eisden: direct · high-pressing (how E. Ferrera plays)