First League · Regular Season - 13
Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Septemvri Sofia host Lokomotiv Sofia on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (First League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Septemvri Sofia 39%, draw 29%, Lokomotiv Sofia 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Septemvri Sofia €212K, Lokomotiv Sofia €233K.
- Home advantage makes Septemvri Sofia the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Septemvri Sofia goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Septemvri Sofia 1351 · Lokomotiv Sofia 1377
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Septemvri Sofia
13th in First League · 8 pts from 11
- 11 OctLDunav Ruse Bulgarian First League1361
- 19 SepLBotev Plovdiv Bulgarian First League1375
- 14 SepLLudogorets Bulgarian First League1372
- 4 SepLBotev Vratsa Bulgarian First League1390
- 28 AugDSlavia Sofia Bulgarian First League1349
Lokomotiv Sofia
12th in First League · 8 pts from 11
- 10 OctDLokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgarian First League1385
- 20 SepWSpartak Varna Bulgarian First League1379
- 16 SepLCSKA Sofia Bulgarian First League1371
- 11 SepDCherno More Varna Bulgarian First League1430
- 6 SepLLudogorets Bulgarian First League1382
Season outlook
From the First League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia | 8 /11 | 23.7 | 0% | 0% | 52% | 13th |
| Lokomotiv Sofia | 8 /11 | 25.0 | 0% | 0% | 38% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Septemvri Sofia: low-volume · direct (how Simao Freitas plays) · Lokomotiv Sofia: direct (how Lyuboslav Mladenov Penev plays)