First League · Regular Season - 15

Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC

Septemvri Sofia host Lokomotiv Plovdiv on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (First League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Septemvri Sofia 43%, draw 28%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 29%.

Average value of the expected XI: Septemvri Sofia €219K, Lokomotiv Plovdiv €255K.

Provisional prediction

From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.

HomeDrawAway

Most likely scores

Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Septemvri Sofia goals first.

1–1
14%
1–0
9%
2–1
9%
0–0
9%
2–0
8%
0–1
7%
Other scores
44%

Team Elo: Septemvri Sofia 1384 · Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1362

Probable line-ups

Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.

3-5-2Formations4-2-3-1

GV. Ivanov1164

DM. Hristov1479

DV. Ozornwafor1475

DP. Gospodinov1113

DS. Vulikić1592

MY. Baurenski1466

MB. Penchev1367

MG. Ivanov1126

FF. Herard1324

FPedro Igor1489

FAndré Filipe Rio Liberal1396

CMladen Kašćelan1360

GB. Milosavljevic1466

DAdrián Cova1448

DA. Chindriş1449

DI. Ivanov1465

DLucas Ryan1454

MT. Pavlov1461

MP. Umarbayev1409

MJ. Iliev1224

MR. Leijten1400

FChrist Longville1261

FD. Mrankov1220

CDušan Kosič1462

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Septemvri Sofia

14th in First League · 8 pts from 13

2 NovLArda Kardzhali Bulgarian First League1412
27 OctLCherno More Varna Bulgarian First League1377
11 OctLDunav Ruse Bulgarian First League1361
19 SepLBotev Plovdiv Bulgarian First League1375
14 SepLLudogorets Bulgarian First League1372

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

13th in First League · 9 pts from 13

31 OctLLudogorets Bulgarian First League1371
26 OctDSlavia Sofia Bulgarian First League1400
10 OctDLokomotiv Sofia Bulgarian First League1393
20 SepDCSKA Sofia Bulgarian First League1395
13 SepLBotev Plovdiv Bulgarian First League1402

Season outlook

From the First League simulation.

Club	Pts now	Pred. pts	Title	Top 4	Bottom 3	Most likely
Septemvri Sofia	8 /13	22.3	0%	0%	61%	14th
Lokomotiv Plovdiv	9 /13	22.8	0%	0%	55%	14th

Septemvri Sofia

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: First League

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Mladen Kašćelan

Coach DNA: –

Dušan Kosič

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Septemvri Sofia: low-volume (how Mladen Kašćelan plays) · Lokomotiv Plovdiv: balanced profile (how Dušan Kosič plays)