Liga I · Regular Season - 13
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Universitatea Craiova
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Stadionul Sepsi, Sfantu Gheorghe
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe host Universitatea Craiova on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Liga I); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 16%, draw 23%, Universitatea Craiova 61%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe €298K, Universitatea Craiova €1.6M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Liga I matchday 13: 331 points.
- Liga I: L. Popescu is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1942).
- Universitatea Craiova's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 over 180 days.
- Universitatea Craiova are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe goals first.
- 1–111%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–19%
- 0–37%
- 1–37%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1511 · Universitatea Craiova 1842
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1609
Universitatea Craiova · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Elite) · Elo 1921
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
12th in Liga I · 14 pts from 12
- 17 OctDPetrolul Ploiesti Liga I1512
- 9 OctLDinamo Bucuresti Liga I1526
- 18 SepLUta Arad Liga I1502
- 12 SepWCFR 1907 Cluj Liga I1483
- 5 SepLFC Botosani Liga I1496
Universitatea Craiova
3rd in Liga I · 26 pts from 12
- 18 OctWFarul Constanta Liga I1755
- 15 OctDGetafe UEFA Conference League1843
- 11 OctWCsikszereda Liga I1853
- 19 SepWFCSB Liga I1814
- 13 SepWCorvinul Hunedoara Liga I1805
Season outlook
From the Liga I simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 14 /12 | 35.5 | 0% | 1% | 18% | 12th |
| Universitatea Craiova | 26 /12 | 63.0 | 53% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: balanced profile (how Ovidiu Nicuşor Burcă plays) · Universitatea Craiova: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Filipe Amaral Rino Coelho plays)