Liga I · Regular Season - 16
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Rapid
Mon 23 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Stadionul Sepsi, Sfantu Gheorghe
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe host Rapid on Mon 23 Nov 2026 (Liga I); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 21%, draw 26%, Rapid 54%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe €257K, Rapid €725K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe goals first.
- 0–112%
- 1–112%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–08%
- 1–07%
- Other scores41%
Team Elo: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1494 · Rapid 1731
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1619

Rapid · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1787
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
11th in Liga I · 18 pts from 15
- 8 NovWFC Voluntari Liga I1441
- 1 NovDOţelul Liga I1485
- 26 OctLUniversitatea Craiova Liga I1520
- 17 OctDPetrolul Ploiesti Liga I1504
- 9 OctLDinamo Bucuresti Liga I1522
Rapid
3rd in Liga I · 31 pts from 15
- 7 NovDFarul Constanta Liga I1743
- 30 OctWCsikszereda Liga I1707
- 24 OctLFCSB Liga I1752
- 17 OctWCorvinul Hunedoara Liga I1739
- 12 OctWUniversitatea Cluj Liga I1735
Season outlook
From the Liga I simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 18 /15 | 35.2 | 0% | <1% | 14% | 12th |
| Rapid | 31 /15 | 57.4 | 12% | 95% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: balanced profile (how O. Burcă plays) · Rapid: balanced profile (how D. Pancu plays)