Liga I · Regular Season - 11
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0–2 Dinamo Bucuresti
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Stadionul Municipal, Sfântu Gheorghe
Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheTeam 1485Dinamo BucurestiTeam 1741We gave Dinamo Bucuresti 56% to win: they did.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 20% · 24% · 56%(Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · draw · Dinamo Bucuresti)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 0–2 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe €312K, Dinamo Bucuresti €737K.
- Dinamo Bucuresti's expected eleven was in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.1 over 180 days.
- Dinamo Bucuresti were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9th in Liga I · 13 pts from 10
- 18 SepLUta Arad Liga I1502
- 12 SepWCFR 1907 Cluj Liga I1483
- 5 SepLFC Botosani Liga I1496
- 29 AugWArges Pitesti Liga I1474
- 23 AugDFarul Constanta Liga I1477
Dinamo Bucuresti
1st in Liga I · 23 pts from 10
- 20 SepWFarul Constanta Liga I1698
- 11 SepWCsikszereda Liga I1673
- 5 SepWFCSB Liga I1688
- 29 AugDCorvinul Hunedoara Liga I1660
- 22 AugWUniversitatea Cluj Liga I1668
Season outlook
From the Liga I simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 13 /10 | 37.0 | 0% | 2% | 14% | 11th |
| Dinamo Bucuresti | 23 /10 | 57.4 | 26% | 94% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1629
Dinamo Bucuresti · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 1769
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: balanced profile (how Ovidiu Nicuşor Burcă plays) · Dinamo Bucuresti: possession-based (how Nuno Alexandre Carvalho Campos plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.