Super League · Regular Season - 5
Selangor 3–1 Penang
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 12:15 UTC · MBPJ Stadium, Petaling Jaya
SelangorTeam 1542PenangTeam 1229- Chrigor Moraes 11', 52'
- Z. Khalili 90+4'
- S. Brundo 69'
We gave Selangor 67% to win: they did.
- Chrigor Moraes –11'Selangor:Chrigor Moraes –
- 37'H. Azim –Penang:H. Azim –
- H. Boumous – for Vitor Pernambuco –46'Selangor:H. Boumous – for Vitor Pernambuco –
- 46'K. Naskam – for S. Fikri –Penang:K. Naskam – for S. Fikri –
- 46'I. Iziruddin – for D. Tumbas –Penang:I. Iziruddin – for D. Tumbas –
- H. Boumous –48'Selangor:H. Boumous –
- Chrigor Moraes – assist Q. Cheng –52'Selangor:Chrigor Moraes – assist Q. Cheng –
- 63'K. Akmal –Penang:K. Akmal –
- 66'A. Zamri – for H. Azim –Penang:A. Zamri – for H. Azim –
- 66'M. Bobojonov – for E. Celestine –Penang:M. Bobojonov – for E. Celestine –
- 69'S. Brundo –Penang:S. Brundo –
- A. Izwan – for A. Selvan –82'Selangor:A. Izwan – for A. Selvan –
- Z. Khalili – for J. Tabinas –82'Selangor:Z. Khalili – for J. Tabinas –
- H. Haiqal – for E. Sosa –87'Selangor:H. Haiqal – for E. Sosa –
- 88'K. Naskam –Penang:K. Naskam –
- Chrigor Moraes – (penalty missed) assist Chrigor Moraes –90+4'Selangor:Chrigor Moraes – (penalty missed) assist Chrigor Moraes –
- Z. Khalili –90+4'Selangor:Z. Khalili –
Before kick-off (provisional): 67% · 20% · 13%(Selangor · draw · Penang)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 3–1 had 7%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Selangor €319K, Penang €103K.
- Draw chance was 20%, below the Super League average of 26% this round.
- Kalamullah Al Hafiz, Quentin Cheng, Nooa Laine, Faisal Abdul Halim, Alvin Fortes, Chrigor, Ahmad Zikri Khalili, S. Baharudin, M. Diarra and H. Boumous (Selangor) had not played for over 90 days.
- R. Hamid, A. Shaqirin, F. Obilor, Adib Abdul Ra'op, S. Brundo, O. Porteria, F. Saiyadi, Douglas Coutinho, A. Irfan and I. Iziruddin (Penang) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Selangor
3rd in Super League · 12 pts from 4
- 15 MarWKuala Lumpur FA Malaysia Super League1553
- 8 MarWImigresen Malaysia Super League1534
- 28 FebDMelaka Malaysia Super League1550
- 22 FebWKuching FA Malaysia Super League1552
- 10 DecLHome United AFC Cup1565
Penang
10th in Super League · 4 pts from 4
- 14 MarLKuching FA Malaysia Super League1204
- 7 MarDNegeri Sembilan Malaysia Super League1224
- 27 FebLJohor Darul Takzim FC Malaysia Super League1248
- 19 AprLPahang Malaysia Super League1225
- 13 AprWKuala Lumpur FA Malaysia Super League1227
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selangor | 12 /4 | 43.5 | 17% | 99% | 0% | 2nd |
| Penang | 4 /4 | 22.4 | 0% | 6% | 52% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 11th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Selangor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1755
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –