Major League Soccer · Round of 32
Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 03:00 UTC · Lumen Field
Seattle Sounders host Real Salt Lake on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Seattle Sounders 46%, draw 28%, Real Salt Lake 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Seattle Sounders €2.5M, Real Salt Lake €1.4M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Seattle Sounders goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–19%
- 1–08%
- 2–07%
- 2–27%
- 1–27%
- Other scores49%
Team Elo: Seattle Sounders 1916 · Real Salt Lake 1900
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Seattle Sounders · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.7 (Good) · Elo 1924
Real Salt Lake · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Good) · Elo 1966
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Seattle Sounders
8th in MLS · 46 pts from 34
- 8 NovWLos Angeles FC MLS1882
- 1 NovLVancouver Whitecaps MLS1955
- 29 OctLHouston Dynamo MLS1946
- 25 OctDSan Diego MLS1971
- 18 OctDCF Montreal MLS1918
Real Salt Lake
9th in MLS · 45 pts from 34
- 8 NovWLos Angeles Galaxy MLS1864
- 31 OctLSan Jose Earthquakes MLS1912
- 29 OctWAustin MLS1872
- 25 OctWSt. Louis City MLS1836
- 18 OctWSporting Kansas City MLS1802
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders | 46 /34 | 47.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14th |
| Real Salt Lake | 45 /34 | 46.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Seattle Sounders: balanced profile (how B. Schmetzer plays) · Real Salt Lake: balanced profile (how P. Mastroeni plays)