Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 34
Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Lumen Field, Seattle
Seattle Sounders host Los Angeles FC on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Seattle Sounders 40%, draw 29%, Los Angeles FC 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Seattle Sounders €2.1M, Los Angeles FC €3.2M.
- Home advantage makes Seattle Sounders the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Seattle Sounders goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Seattle Sounders 1924 · Los Angeles FC 1981
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Seattle Sounders · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 2031
Los Angeles FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 2071
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Seattle Sounders
7th in MLS · 42 pts from 30
- 18 OctDCF Montreal MLS1925
- 15 OctLFC Dallas MLS1913
- 10 OctWNew England Revolution MLS1927
- 2 OctWSporting Kansas City MLS1907
- 27 SepWMinnesota United FC MLS1889
Los Angeles FC
6th in MLS · 46 pts from 31
- 17 OctDNew York City FC MLS2006
- 15 OctWAustin MLS1999
- 11 OctDVancouver Whitecaps MLS1997
- 27 SepLFC Dallas MLS1983
- 19 SepDSan Jose Earthquakes MLS2044
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders | 42 /30 | 47.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13th |
| Los Angeles FC | 46 /31 | 50.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Seattle Sounders: balanced profile (how B. Schmetzer plays) · Los Angeles FC: dribble-heavy (how M. Dos Santos plays)