Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 32
Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 02:30 UTC · Lumen Field, Seattle
Seattle Sounders host Houston Dynamo on Thu 29 Oct 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Seattle Sounders 42%, draw 29%, Houston Dynamo 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Seattle Sounders €2.1M, Houston Dynamo €2.0M.
- Home advantage makes Seattle Sounders the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
- All 11 of Houston Dynamo's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Seattle Sounders goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Seattle Sounders 1922 · Houston Dynamo 1956
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Seattle Sounders · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 2031
Houston Dynamo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Good) · Elo 2030
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Seattle Sounders
7th in MLS · 42 pts from 30
- 18 OctDCF Montreal MLS1925
- 15 OctLFC Dallas MLS1913
- 10 OctWNew England Revolution MLS1927
- 2 OctWSporting Kansas City MLS1907
- 27 SepWMinnesota United FC MLS1889
Houston Dynamo
5th in MLS · 47 pts from 30
- 18 OctDFC Dallas MLS1973
- 15 OctDSan Diego MLS1970
- 11 OctDMinnesota United FC MLS1990
- 27 SepLSporting Kansas City MLS1990
- 20 SepDFC Cincinnati MLS2005
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders | 42 /30 | 47.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13th |
| Houston Dynamo | 47 /30 | 53.0 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Seattle Sounders: balanced profile (how Brian Thomas Schmetzer plays) · Houston Dynamo: possession-based (how Benjamin Robert Olsen plays)