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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 30

Seattle Sounders 1–1 CF Montreal

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 02:30 UTC · Lumen Field, Seattle

Seattle Sounders crestSeattle SoundersTeam 1932
1–1
Full time
HT 0–1
CF Montreal crestCF MontrealTeam 1705

Match story

Seattle Sounders · draw · CF Montreal

Before kick-off: 63% · 22% · 15%

Live chances: Seattle Sounders 1%, draw 98%, CF Montreal 1% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Seattle Sounders 63%, draw 23%, CF Montreal 15%2' · 0–0 · Seattle Sounders 63%, draw 23%, CF Montreal 15%3' · 0–0 · Seattle Sounders 63%, draw 23%, CF Montreal 15%4' · 0–0 · Seattle Sounders 62%, draw 23%, CF Montreal 15%5' · 0–0 · Seattle Sounders 62%, draw 23%, CF Montreal 15%6' · 0–0 · Seattle Sounders 62%, draw 23%, CF Montreal 15%7' · 0–0 · Seattle Sounders 62%, draw 23%, CF Montreal 15%8' · 0–0 · Seattle Sounders 62%, draw 23%, CF Montreal 15%9' · 0–0 · Seattle Sounders 61%, draw 24%, CF Montreal 15%10' · 0–0 · Seattle Sounders 61%, draw 24%, CF Montreal 15%11' · 0–0 · Seattle Sounders 61%, draw 24%, CF Montreal 15%12' · 0–0 · Seattle Sounders 61%, draw 24%, CF Montreal 15%13' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 43%, draw 27%, CF Montreal 30%14' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 43%, draw 27%, CF Montreal 30%15' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 43%, draw 27%, CF Montreal 31%16' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 42%, draw 27%, CF Montreal 31%17' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 42%, draw 27%, CF Montreal 31%18' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 41%, draw 27%, CF Montreal 31%19' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 41%, draw 27%, CF Montreal 32%21' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 40%, draw 28%, CF Montreal 32%22' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 40%, draw 28%, CF Montreal 33%23' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 39%, draw 28%, CF Montreal 33%24' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 39%, draw 28%, CF Montreal 33%25' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 38%, draw 28%, CF Montreal 33%26' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 38%, draw 28%, CF Montreal 34%27' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 38%, draw 28%, CF Montreal 34%28' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 37%, draw 28%, CF Montreal 34%29' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 37%, draw 29%, CF Montreal 35%30' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 36%, draw 29%, CF Montreal 35%31' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 36%, draw 29%, CF Montreal 35%32' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 35%, draw 29%, CF Montreal 36%33' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 35%, draw 29%, CF Montreal 36%34' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 34%, draw 29%, CF Montreal 36%35' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 34%, draw 29%, CF Montreal 37%36' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 34%, draw 29%, CF Montreal 37%37' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 33%, draw 30%, CF Montreal 37%38' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 33%, draw 30%, CF Montreal 38%39' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 32%, draw 30%, CF Montreal 38%40' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 31%, draw 30%, CF Montreal 39%41' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 31%, draw 30%, CF Montreal 39%42' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 30%, draw 30%, CF Montreal 39%43' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 30%, draw 30%, CF Montreal 40%44' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 29%, draw 30%, CF Montreal 40%45' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 29%, draw 30%, CF Montreal 41%45+1' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 28%, draw 30%, CF Montreal 41%HT · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 27%, draw 31%, CF Montreal 42%46' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 27%, draw 31%, CF Montreal 42%47' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 26%, draw 31%, CF Montreal 43%48' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 26%, draw 31%, CF Montreal 43%49' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 25%, draw 31%, CF Montreal 44%50' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 25%, draw 31%, CF Montreal 44%51' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 24%, draw 31%, CF Montreal 45%52' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 23%, draw 31%, CF Montreal 46%53' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 23%, draw 31%, CF Montreal 46%54' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 22%, draw 31%, CF Montreal 47%55' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 21%, draw 31%, CF Montreal 48%56' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 21%, draw 31%, CF Montreal 48%57' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 20%, draw 31%, CF Montreal 49%58' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 19%, draw 31%, CF Montreal 50%59' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 19%, draw 31%, CF Montreal 50%60' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 18%, draw 31%, CF Montreal 51%61' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 17%, draw 31%, CF Montreal 52%62' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 17%, draw 31%, CF Montreal 53%63' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 16%, draw 31%, CF Montreal 53%64' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 15%, draw 31%, CF Montreal 54%65' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 15%, draw 30%, CF Montreal 55%66' · 0–1 · Seattle Sounders 14%, draw 30%, CF Montreal 56%67' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 37%, draw 47%, CF Montreal 16%68' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 37%, draw 48%, CF Montreal 15%69' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 36%, draw 49%, CF Montreal 15%70' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 35%, draw 50%, CF Montreal 15%71' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 34%, draw 51%, CF Montreal 15%72' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 34%, draw 52%, CF Montreal 15%73' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 33%, draw 53%, CF Montreal 14%74' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 32%, draw 54%, CF Montreal 14%75' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 31%, draw 55%, CF Montreal 14%76' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 30%, draw 56%, CF Montreal 14%77' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 29%, draw 57%, CF Montreal 13%78' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 28%, draw 59%, CF Montreal 13%79' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 27%, draw 60%, CF Montreal 13%80' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 26%, draw 62%, CF Montreal 12%81' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 25%, draw 63%, CF Montreal 12%82' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 24%, draw 65%, CF Montreal 11%83' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 23%, draw 66%, CF Montreal 11%84' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 22%, draw 68%, CF Montreal 10%85' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 20%, draw 70%, CF Montreal 10%86' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 19%, draw 71%, CF Montreal 9%87' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 18%, draw 73%, CF Montreal 9%88' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 16%, draw 75%, CF Montreal 8%89' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 15%, draw 78%, CF Montreal 7%90' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 13%, draw 80%, CF Montreal 7%90+1' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 11%, draw 83%, CF Montreal 6%90+2' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 10%, draw 86%, CF Montreal 5%90+3' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 8%, draw 88%, CF Montreal 4%90+4' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 6%, draw 92%, CF Montreal 3%90+5' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 3%, draw 95%, CF Montreal 2%90+6' · 1–1 · Seattle Sounders 1%, draw 98%, CF Montreal 1%

Last reading, 90+6': 1% · 98% · 1%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Seattle Sounders 63% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 13'CF Montreal:Gennadiy Synchuk 1589 +37 assist Noah Streit 1641 +28
  2. 14'Seattle Sounders:Hassani Dotson 1951 −4
  3. 33'CF Montreal:Alexis Sanchez 1730 −2
  4. 45'Seattle Sounders:Sebastian Gomez 1712 0 for Alexander Roldan 2039 −4
  5. 45'Seattle Sounders:Kalani Kossa-Rienzi 1968 −4 for Caden Clark 1759 0
  6. 52'CF Montreal:Victor Loturi 1851 +4
  7. 64'CF Montreal:Dawid Bugaj 1772 +2 for Jalen Neal 1824 +4
  8. 64'Seattle Sounders:Snyder Brunell 1910 −1 for Ryan Sailor 1629 −8*
  9. 64'Seattle Sounders:Jesús Ferreira 1976 −2 for Albert Rusnák 1945 −6
  10. 66'Seattle Sounders:Sebastian Gomez 1712 0
  11. 79'CF Montreal:Daniel Pereira 1855 0 for Victor Loturi 1851 +4
  12. 79'CF Montreal:Wikelman·Carmona 1853 +1 for Noah Streit 1641 +28
  13. 87'CF Montreal:Olger Escobar 1609 0 for Fabian Herbers 1699 +5
  14. 87'Seattle Sounders:Paul Arriola 1844 −3 for Hassani Dotson 1951 −4
  15. 87'CF Montreal:Matthew Longstaff 1806 0 for Samuel Piette 1652 +7

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GA. Thomas2007−4
DA. Roldan2039−4
DY. Gómez1913−8
DR. Sailor1629−8*
DN. Tolo1993−5
MC. Roldan2044−17
MH. Dotson1951−4
MC. Clark17590
MA. Rusnák1945−6
MJ. Morris1959−6
CB. Schmetzer1992−6
GS. Breza1788+19
DJ. Neal1824+4
DE. Morales1767+8
DB. Craig1745+23
MS. Piette1652+7
MV. Loturi1851+4
MH. Synchuk1589+37
MF. Herbers1699+5
MN. Streit1641+28
FA. Sánchez1730−2
Before kick-off: 63% · 22% · 15%(Seattle Sounders · draw · CF Montreal)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 1–1 had 11%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Seattle Sounders €2.0M, CF Montreal €786K.
  • CF Montreal were without 1 expected starter: P. Owusu (1857).
  • Largest team-Elo gap of MLS matchday 30: 154 points.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Seattle Sounders

7th in MLS · 41 pts from 29

  • 15 OctLFC Dallas 1913
  • 10 OctWNew England Revolution 1927
  • 2 OctWSporting Kansas City 1907
  • 27 SepWMinnesota United FC 1889
  • 24 SepWReal Salt Lake 1899

CF Montreal

15th in MLS · 24 pts from 29

  • 14 OctLAtlanta United FC 1787
  • 10 OctLToronto FC 1822
  • 26 SepWFC Cincinnati 1802
  • 19 SepLColumbus Crew 1765
  • 13 SepLColorado Rapids 1794

Season outlook

From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Seattle Sounders41 /2948.30%0%0%13th
CF Montreal24 /2928.60%0%99%29th
Seattle Sounders
CF Montreal

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Major League Soccer

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

C. Roldan
C. Roldan

Seattle Sounders · +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 2061

J. Neal
J. Neal

CF Montreal · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1819

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Brian Thomas Schmetzer

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Philippe Eullaffroy

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Seattle Sounders: balanced profile (how Brian Thomas Schmetzer plays) · CF Montreal: balanced profile (how Philippe Eullaffroy plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.