Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 30
Seattle Sounders 1–1 CF Montreal
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 02:30 UTC · Lumen Field, Seattle
Seattle SoundersTeam 1932
CF MontrealTeam 1705Match story
Seattle Sounders · draw · CF MontrealBefore kick-off: 63% · 22% · 15%
Last reading, 90+6': 1% · 98% · 1%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Sebastian Gomez 66'
- Gennadiy Synchuk 13'
We gave Seattle Sounders 63% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 13'Gennadiy Synchuk 1589 +37 assist Noah Streit 1641 +28
CF Montreal:Gennadiy Synchuk 1589 +37 assist Noah Streit 1641 +28 - Hassani Dotson 1951 −414'
Seattle Sounders:Hassani Dotson 1951 −4 - 33'Alexis Sanchez 1730 −2
CF Montreal:Alexis Sanchez 1730 −2 - Sebastian Gomez 1712 0 for Alexander Roldan 2039 −445'
Seattle Sounders:Sebastian Gomez 1712 0 for Alexander Roldan 2039 −4 - Kalani Kossa-Rienzi 1968 −4 for Caden Clark 1759 045'
Seattle Sounders:Kalani Kossa-Rienzi 1968 −4 for Caden Clark 1759 0 - 52'Victor Loturi 1851 +4
CF Montreal:Victor Loturi 1851 +4 - 64'Dawid Bugaj 1772 +2 for Jalen Neal 1824 +4
CF Montreal:Dawid Bugaj 1772 +2 for Jalen Neal 1824 +4 - Snyder Brunell 1910 −1 for Ryan Sailor 1629 −8*64'
Seattle Sounders:Snyder Brunell 1910 −1 for Ryan Sailor 1629 −8* - Jesús Ferreira 1976 −2 for Albert Rusnák 1945 −664'
Seattle Sounders:Jesús Ferreira 1976 −2 for Albert Rusnák 1945 −6 - Sebastian Gomez 1712 066'
Seattle Sounders:Sebastian Gomez 1712 0 - 79'Daniel Pereira 1855 0 for Victor Loturi 1851 +4
CF Montreal:Daniel Pereira 1855 0 for Victor Loturi 1851 +4 - 79'Wikelman·Carmona 1853 +1 for Noah Streit 1641 +28
CF Montreal:Wikelman·Carmona 1853 +1 for Noah Streit 1641 +28 - 87'Olger Escobar 1609 0 for Fabian Herbers 1699 +5
CF Montreal:Olger Escobar 1609 0 for Fabian Herbers 1699 +5 - Paul Arriola 1844 −3 for Hassani Dotson 1951 −487'
Seattle Sounders:Paul Arriola 1844 −3 for Hassani Dotson 1951 −4 - 87'Matthew Longstaff 1806 0 for Samuel Piette 1652 +7
CF Montreal:Matthew Longstaff 1806 0 for Samuel Piette 1652 +7
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 63% · 22% · 15%(Seattle Sounders · draw · CF Montreal)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 1–1 had 11%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Seattle Sounders €2.0M, CF Montreal €786K.
- CF Montreal were without 1 expected starter: P. Owusu (1857).
- Largest team-Elo gap of MLS matchday 30: 154 points.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Seattle Sounders
7th in MLS · 41 pts from 29
- 15 OctLFC Dallas MLS1913
- 10 OctWNew England Revolution MLS1927
- 2 OctWSporting Kansas City MLS1907
- 27 SepWMinnesota United FC MLS1889
- 24 SepWReal Salt Lake MLS1899
CF Montreal
15th in MLS · 24 pts from 29
- 14 OctLAtlanta United FC MLS1787
- 10 OctLToronto FC MLS1822
- 26 SepWFC Cincinnati MLS1802
- 19 SepLColumbus Crew MLS1765
- 13 SepLColorado Rapids MLS1794
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders | 41 /29 | 48.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13th |
| CF Montreal | 24 /29 | 28.6 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 29th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Seattle Sounders · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 2061

CF Montreal · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1819
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Seattle Sounders: balanced profile (how Brian Thomas Schmetzer plays) · CF Montreal: balanced profile (how Philippe Eullaffroy plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.