Bundesliga · Regular Season - 13
SCR Altach vs Sturm Graz
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC · Cashpoint-Arena, Altach
SCR Altach host Sturm Graz on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: SCR Altach 22%, draw 26%, Sturm Graz 52%.
- Average value of the expected XI: SCR Altach €407K, Sturm Graz €1.7M.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Bundesliga): SCR Altach rank #11 of 12, Sturm Graz #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. SCR Altach goals first.
- 1–112%
- 0–111%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–07%
- 1–06%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: SCR Altach 1573 · Sturm Graz 1851
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
SCR Altach · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1569
Sturm Graz · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1901
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
SCR Altach
9th in Bundesliga · 10 pts from 12
- 8 NovLTSV Hartberg Austrian Bundesliga1591
- 31 OctDRied Austrian Bundesliga1563
- 23 OctWAustria Vienna Austrian Bundesliga1584
- 18 OctLRed Bull Salzburg Austrian Bundesliga1590
- 11 OctWWolfsberger AC Austrian Bundesliga1558
Sturm Graz
5th in Bundesliga · 19 pts from 12
- 8 NovLRed Bull Salzburg Austrian Bundesliga1852
- 5 NovLCelje UEFA Europa League1870
- 1 NovDWolfsberger AC Austrian Bundesliga1856
- 25 OctDRied Austrian Bundesliga1880
- 22 OctWMarseille UEFA Europa League1854
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCR Altach | 10 /12 | 20.1 | 0% | 0% | 55% | 11th |
| Sturm Graz | 19 /12 | 36.6 | <1% | 71% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
SCR Altach: balanced profile (how Ognjen Zaric plays) · Sturm Graz: balanced profile (how Fabio Ingolitsch plays)