UEFA Nations League · League B - 5
Scotland vs FYR Macedonia
Fri 13 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Hampden Park Stadium, Glasgow
Scotland host FYR Macedonia on Fri 13 Nov 2026 (UEFA Nations League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Scotland 73%, draw 17%, FYR Macedonia 10%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Scotland €10.2M, FYR Macedonia €2.3M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of UEFA Nations League B, matchday 5: 351 points.
- Draw chance 17%, below the UEFA Nations League average of 24% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Scotland goals first.
- 2–013%
- 1–012%
- 3–010%
- 2–19%
- 1–18%
- 3–17%
- Other scores41%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 5.3 pts
Team Elo: Scotland 2096 · FYR Macedonia 1745
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each team's last 4 UEFA Nations League matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Scotland · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.2 (Good) · Elo 2232
FYR Macedonia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Good) · Elo 1926