Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg
SC Freiburg host Union Berlin on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: SC Freiburg 60%, draw 23%, Union Berlin 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: SC Freiburg €14.4M, Union Berlin €4.5M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. SC Freiburg goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.4 pts
Team Elo: SC Freiburg 2179 · Union Berlin 1946
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
SC Freiburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 2265
Union Berlin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.8 (Good) · Elo 2133
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
SC Freiburg
3rd in Bundesliga · 13 pts from 6
- 22 OctLMonaco UEFA Conference League2191
- 18 OctLBayer Leverkusen Bundesliga2231
- 15 OctWFK Jablonec UEFA Conference League2099
- 11 OctWFC Schalke 04 Bundesliga2249
- 19 SepDEintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga2245
Union Berlin
17th in Bundesliga · 5 pts from 6
- 17 OctDBorussia Dortmund Bundesliga1949
- 10 OctWSV Elversberg Bundesliga1932
- 18 SepLBayern München Bundesliga1906
- 11 SepLFC Schalke 04 Bundesliga1930
- 5 SepLBayer Leverkusen Bundesliga1924
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg | 13 /6 | 56.8 | 1% | 45% | 0% | 5th |
| Union Berlin | 5 /6 | 35.2 | 0% | <1% | 40% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
SC Freiburg: balanced profile (how Julian Schuster plays) · Union Berlin: direct (how Mauro Lustrinelli plays)