Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8
SC Braga 1–3 Sporting CP
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 19:15 UTC · Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
SC BragaTeam 1985Sporting CPTeam 2113We gave Sporting CP 39% to win: they did.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 32% · 29% · 39%(SC Braga · draw · Sporting CP)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–3 had 4%.
- Average value of the starting XI: SC Braga €3.4M, Sporting CP €10.5M.
- Sporting CP were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
SC Braga
6th in Primeira Liga · 11 pts from 6
- 20 SepDSanta Clara Primeira Liga1982
- 14 SepWEstoril Primeira Liga2000
- 10 SepLEstrela Primeira Liga2040
- 5 SepWAlverca Primeira Liga1999
- 31 AugWVitória SC Primeira Liga1979
Sporting CP
3rd in Primeira Liga · 15 pts from 7
- 19 SepDArouca Primeira Liga2274
- 13 SepDFamalicao Primeira Liga2229
- 9 SepWGalatasaray UEFA Champions League2219
- 5 SepWNacional Primeira Liga2227
- 28 AugWRio Ave Primeira Liga2204
Season outlook
From the Primeira Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Braga | 11 /6 | 59.8 | <1% | 86% | 0% | 4th |
| Sporting CP | 15 /7 | 72.7 | 4% | 100% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
SC Braga · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1726
Sporting CP · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 2237
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
SC Braga: possession-based (how Carlos Vicens plays) · Sporting CP: possession-based · creative (how Rui Manuel Gomes Borges plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.