Eliteserien · Regular Season - 24
Sarpsborg 08 FF 0–3 Rosenborg
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg
Sarpsborg 08 FFTeam 1653RosenborgTeam 1771We gave Rosenborg 45% to win: they did.
- 29'Aslak Fonn Witry 1820 +52Rosenborg:Aslak Fonn Witry 1820 +52
- 34'Mathias Ullereng Kjolo 1904 +9Rosenborg:Mathias Ullereng Kjolo 1904 +9
- 36'Adrian Nilsen Pereira 1869 +32 assist Aslak Fonn Witry 1820 +52Rosenborg:Adrian Nilsen Pereira 1869 +32 assist Aslak Fonn Witry 1820 +52
- Sander Johan Christiansen 1721 −943'Sarpsborg 08 FF:Sander Johan Christiansen 1721 −9
- Anders Hiim 1680 −4 for Andreas Hansen 1682 −445'Sarpsborg 08 FF:Anders Hiim 1680 −4 for Andreas Hansen 1682 −4
- Aimar Sher 1665 −3 for Peter Reinhardsen 1617 −145'Sarpsborg 08 FF:Aimar Sher 1665 −3 for Peter Reinhardsen 1617 −1
- Daniel Seland Karlsbakk 1686 −957'Sarpsborg 08 FF:Daniel Seland Karlsbakk 1686 −9
- Claus Babo Niyukuri 1622 −1 for Eirik Wichne 1649 −560'Sarpsborg 08 FF:Claus Babo Niyukuri 1622 −1 for Eirik Wichne 1649 −5
- 61'Jesper Reitan Sunde 1643 +2* for Noah Sahsah 1706 +18Rosenborg:Jesper Reitan Sunde 1643 +2* for Noah Sahsah 1706 +18
- 61'Dino Islamović 1578 −4* for Maciej Soboczynski 1497 +21*Rosenborg:Dino Islamović 1578 −4* for Maciej Soboczynski 1497 +21*
- 65'Mads Bomholt 1845 +16Rosenborg:Mads Bomholt 1845 +16
- Victor Emanuel Halvorsen 1436 0 for Sander Johan Christiansen 1721 −968'Sarpsborg 08 FF:Victor Emanuel Halvorsen 1436 0 for Sander Johan Christiansen 1721 −9
- 70'Tobias Solheim Dahl 1540 +15* for Adrian Nilsen Pereira 1869 +32Rosenborg:Tobias Solheim Dahl 1540 +15* for Adrian Nilsen Pereira 1869 +32
- 70'Iver Fossum 1709 +13 for Mathias Ullereng Kjolo 1904 +9Rosenborg:Iver Fossum 1709 +13 for Mathias Ullereng Kjolo 1904 +9
- 81'Jonas Sogaard Mortensen 1591 +1* for Dino Islamović 1578 −4*Rosenborg:Jonas Sogaard Mortensen 1591 +1* for Dino Islamović 1578 −4*
- Camil Mmaee Nwameben 1464 −8* for Noa Williams 1610 081'Sarpsborg 08 FF:Camil Mmaee Nwameben 1464 −8* for Noa Williams 1610 0
- 83'Jonas Sogaard Mortensen 1591 +1*Rosenborg:Jonas Sogaard Mortensen 1591 +1*
- 90+7'Jonas Sogaard Mortensen 1591 +1*Rosenborg:Jonas Sogaard Mortensen 1591 +1*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 29% · 26% · 45%(Sarpsborg 08 FF · draw · Rosenborg)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 0–3 had 4%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Sarpsborg 08 FF €707K, Rosenborg €998K.
- Rosenborg were without 3 expected starters: T. Nemčík (1860), O. Selnæs (1823) and Amin Chiakha (1883).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sarpsborg 08 FF
9th in Eliteserien · 28 pts from 22
- 11 OctWAalesund Eliteserien1646
- 18 SepLKFUM Oslo Eliteserien1622
- 13 SepDFredrikstad Eliteserien1623
- 6 SepDValerenga Eliteserien1603
- 30 AugDTromso Eliteserien1656
Rosenborg
5th in Eliteserien · 34 pts from 22
- 10 OctDSandefjord Eliteserien1854
- 19 SepWKristiansund BK Eliteserien1806
- 12 SepWTromso Eliteserien1780
- 5 SepWHam-Kam Eliteserien1765
- 30 AugLBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1793
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | 28 /22 | 38.6 | 0% | <1% | 1% | 8th |
| Rosenborg | 34 /22 | 49.1 | 0% | 66% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sarpsborg 08 FF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1724
Rosenborg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.2 (Elite) · Elo 1841
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sarpsborg 08 FF: balanced profile (how Even Sel plays) · Rosenborg: balanced profile (how Freyr Alexandersson plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.