Eliteserien · Regular Season - 27
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Lillestrom
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 18:15 UTC · Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF host Lillestrom on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sarpsborg 08 FF 38%, draw 29%, Lillestrom 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sarpsborg 08 FF €580K, Lillestrom €476K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sarpsborg 08 FF goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- 2–27%
- 1–07%
- 0–17%
- Other scores50%
Team Elo: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1600 · Lillestrom 1588
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sarpsborg 08 FF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1669
Lillestrom · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1664
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sarpsborg 08 FF
9th in Eliteserien · 31 pts from 26
- 8 NovLHam-Kam Eliteserien1613
- 1 NovLKristiansund BK Eliteserien1645
- 25 OctWAalesund Eliteserien1617
- 18 OctLRosenborg Eliteserien1651
- 11 OctWAalesund Eliteserien1633
Lillestrom
4th in Eliteserien · 45 pts from 26
- 8 NovWAalesund Eliteserien1558
- 5 NovLPlzen UEFA Europa League1634
- 1 NovWStart Eliteserien1548
- 25 OctWBrann Eliteserien1550
- 22 OctLReal Sociedad UEFA Europa League1598
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | 31 /26 | 35.5 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 10th |
| Lillestrom | 45 /26 | 50.7 | 0% | 68% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sarpsborg 08 FF: balanced profile (how Even Sel plays) · Lillestrom: balanced profile (how H. Ødegaard plays)