Eliteserien · Regular Season - 25
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF host Kristiansund BK on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sarpsborg 08 FF 47%, draw 28%, Kristiansund BK 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sarpsborg 08 FF €674K, Kristiansund BK €513K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sarpsborg 08 FF goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1624 · Kristiansund BK 1525
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sarpsborg 08 FF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1710
Kristiansund BK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1447
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sarpsborg 08 FF
10th in Eliteserien · 28 pts from 23
- 18 OctLRosenborg Eliteserien1666
- 11 OctWAalesund Eliteserien1646
- 18 SepLKFUM Oslo Eliteserien1622
- 13 SepDFredrikstad Eliteserien1623
- 6 SepDValerenga Eliteserien1603
Kristiansund BK
15th in Eliteserien · 19 pts from 23
- 17 OctLAalesund Eliteserien1545
- 10 OctLBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1538
- 19 SepLRosenborg Eliteserien1549
- 13 SepLViking Eliteserien1553
- 6 SepWTromso Eliteserien1503
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | 28 /23 | 37.7 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 8th |
| Kristiansund BK | 19 /23 | 27.6 | 0% | 0% | 85% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sarpsborg 08 FF: balanced profile (how Even Sel plays) · Kristiansund BK: direct (how Amund Robertsen Skiri plays)