Eliteserien · Regular Season - 12
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF host Aalesund on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sarpsborg 08 FF 43%, draw 28%, Aalesund 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sarpsborg 08 FF €674K, Aalesund €410K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sarpsborg 08 FF goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1624 · Aalesund 1561
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sarpsborg 08 FF · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1710
Aalesund · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1694
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sarpsborg 08 FF
10th in Eliteserien · 28 pts from 23
- 18 OctLRosenborg Eliteserien1666
- 11 OctWAalesund Eliteserien1646
- 18 SepLKFUM Oslo Eliteserien1622
- 13 SepDFredrikstad Eliteserien1623
- 6 SepDValerenga Eliteserien1603
Aalesund
14th in Eliteserien · 24 pts from 23
- 17 OctWKristiansund BK Eliteserien1546
- 11 OctLSarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien1542
- 19 SepWMolde Eliteserien1514
- 13 SepLKFUM Oslo Eliteserien1527
- 4 SepWStart Eliteserien1504
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | 28 /23 | 37.7 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 8th |
| Aalesund | 24 /23 | 31.2 | 0% | 0% | 42% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sarpsborg 08 FF: balanced profile (how Even Sel plays) · Aalesund: balanced profile (how Kjetil André Rekdal plays)