Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 15
Sarmiento Junin vs Rosario Central
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 00:15 UTC · Estadio Eva Peron, Junin
Sarmiento Junin host Rosario Central on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Liga Profesional Argentina); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sarmiento Junin 25%, draw 27%, Rosario Central 48%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sarmiento Junin €559K, Rosario Central €2.6M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Liga Profesional Clausura - 15: 251 points.
- Rosario Central are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sarmiento Junin goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Sarmiento Junin 1655 · Rosario Central 1906
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sarmiento Junin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1710
Rosario Central · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.2 (Elite) · Elo 2064
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sarmiento Junin
11th in Liga Profesional · 19 pts from 16
- 14 OctDRiver Plate Argentina Liga Profesional1670
- 9 OctWAldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional1630
- 19 SepLRacing Club Argentina Liga Profesional1676
- 13 SepDBelgrano Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1679
- 4 SepWEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional1666
Rosario Central
4th in Liga Profesional · 28 pts from 16
- 17 OctWAtletico Tucuman Argentina Liga Profesional1932
- 11 OctWIndepend. Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional1936
- 6 OctDBanfield Argentina Liga Profesional1861
- 20 SepWArgentinos JRS Argentina Liga Profesional1891
- 13 SepWTigre Argentina Liga Profesional1922
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarmiento Junin | 19 /16 | 23.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22nd |
| Rosario Central | 28 /16 | 34.1 | 2% | 40% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sarmiento Junin: direct (how Facundo Sava plays) · Rosario Central: balanced profile (how Jorge Francisco Almirón Quintana plays)