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Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 11

Sarmiento Junin 1–1 River Plate

Wed 14 Oct 2026 · 22:00 UTC · Estadio Eva Peron, Hu Ning

Sarmiento Junin crestSarmiento JuninTeam 1611
1–1
Full time
HT 1–0
River Plate crestRiver PlateTeam 2062

Match story

Sarmiento Junin · draw · River Plate

Before kick-off: 14% · 19% · 67%

Live chances: Sarmiento Junin 0%, draw 100%, River Plate 0% at 90+8'1' · 0–0 · Sarmiento Junin 14%, draw 19%, River Plate 67%2' · 0–0 · Sarmiento Junin 15%, draw 19%, River Plate 66%3' · 0–0 · Sarmiento Junin 15%, draw 19%, River Plate 66%4' · 0–0 · Sarmiento Junin 15%, draw 19%, River Plate 66%5' · 0–0 · Sarmiento Junin 15%, draw 19%, River Plate 66%6' · 0–0 · Sarmiento Junin 15%, draw 20%, River Plate 66%7' · 0–0 · Sarmiento Junin 15%, draw 20%, River Plate 65%8' · 0–0 · Sarmiento Junin 15%, draw 20%, River Plate 65%9' · 0–0 · Sarmiento Junin 15%, draw 20%, River Plate 65%10' · 0–0 · Sarmiento Junin 15%, draw 20%, River Plate 65%11' · 0–0 · Sarmiento Junin 15%, draw 20%, River Plate 64%12' · 0–0 · Sarmiento Junin 15%, draw 21%, River Plate 64%13' · 0–0 · Sarmiento Junin 15%, draw 21%, River Plate 64%14' · 0–0 · Sarmiento Junin 15%, draw 21%, River Plate 64%15' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 37%, draw 24%, River Plate 39%16' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 37%, draw 24%, River Plate 39%17' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 37%, draw 24%, River Plate 38%18' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 38%, draw 25%, River Plate 38%19' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 38%, draw 25%, River Plate 37%20' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 38%, draw 25%, River Plate 37%21' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 39%, draw 25%, River Plate 37%22' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 39%, draw 25%, River Plate 36%23' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 39%, draw 25%, River Plate 36%24' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 39%, draw 25%, River Plate 35%25' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 40%, draw 25%, River Plate 35%26' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 40%, draw 25%, River Plate 34%27' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 40%, draw 26%, River Plate 34%28' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 41%, draw 26%, River Plate 34%29' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 41%, draw 26%, River Plate 33%30' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 41%, draw 26%, River Plate 33%31' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 42%, draw 26%, River Plate 32%32' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 42%, draw 26%, River Plate 32%33' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 42%, draw 26%, River Plate 31%34' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 43%, draw 26%, River Plate 31%35' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 43%, draw 27%, River Plate 30%36' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 43%, draw 27%, River Plate 30%37' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 44%, draw 27%, River Plate 29%38' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 44%, draw 27%, River Plate 29%39' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 44%, draw 27%, River Plate 29%40' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 45%, draw 27%, River Plate 28%41' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 45%, draw 27%, River Plate 28%42' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 46%, draw 27%, River Plate 27%43' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 46%, draw 27%, River Plate 27%44' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 46%, draw 27%, River Plate 26%45' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 47%, draw 28%, River Plate 26%45+1' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 47%, draw 28%, River Plate 25%HT · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 48%, draw 28%, River Plate 24%46' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 49%, draw 28%, River Plate 24%48' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 49%, draw 28%, River Plate 23%50' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 50%, draw 28%, River Plate 22%51' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 51%, draw 28%, River Plate 21%52' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 51%, draw 28%, River Plate 20%53' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 52%, draw 28%, River Plate 20%54' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 53%, draw 28%, River Plate 19%55' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 53%, draw 28%, River Plate 18%56' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 54%, draw 28%, River Plate 18%56' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 17%, draw 36%, River Plate 47%57' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 17%, draw 37%, River Plate 46%58' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 17%, draw 38%, River Plate 45%59' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 17%, draw 39%, River Plate 45%60' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 17%, draw 39%, River Plate 44%61' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 57%, draw 28%, River Plate 15%62' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 17%, draw 41%, River Plate 43%63' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 59%, draw 28%, River Plate 14%64' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 59%, draw 28%, River Plate 13%65' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 60%, draw 28%, River Plate 13%66' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 61%, draw 27%, River Plate 12%67' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 61%, draw 27%, River Plate 11%68' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 62%, draw 27%, River Plate 11%69' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 63%, draw 27%, River Plate 10%70' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 64%, draw 26%, River Plate 10%71' · 1–0 · Sarmiento Junin 65%, draw 26%, River Plate 9%72' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 15%, draw 50%, River Plate 35%73' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 15%, draw 51%, River Plate 34%74' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 15%, draw 52%, River Plate 33%75' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 14%, draw 53%, River Plate 32%76' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 14%, draw 55%, River Plate 31%77' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 14%, draw 56%, River Plate 30%78' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 13%, draw 57%, River Plate 29%79' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 13%, draw 59%, River Plate 28%80' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 13%, draw 60%, River Plate 27%81' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 12%, draw 62%, River Plate 26%82' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 12%, draw 63%, River Plate 25%83' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 11%, draw 65%, River Plate 23%84' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 11%, draw 67%, River Plate 22%85' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 10%, draw 69%, River Plate 21%86' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 10%, draw 71%, River Plate 20%87' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 9%, draw 73%, River Plate 18%88' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 8%, draw 75%, River Plate 17%89' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 8%, draw 77%, River Plate 15%90' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 7%, draw 80%, River Plate 13%90+1' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 6%, draw 82%, River Plate 12%90+2' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 5%, draw 85%, River Plate 10%90+3' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 4%, draw 88%, River Plate 8%90+4' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 3%, draw 91%, River Plate 6%90+5' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 2%, draw 95%, River Plate 3%90+6' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 1%, draw 98%, River Plate 1%90+7' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 0%, draw 100%, River Plate 0%90+8' · 1–1 · Sarmiento Junin 0%, draw 100%, River Plate 0%

Last reading, 90+8': 0% · 100% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave River Plate 67% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 15'Sarmiento Junin:Julián Contrera 1651 +9* assist Junior Marabel 1752 +4
  2. 61'Sarmiento Junin:Pablo Daniel Magnin 1217 −8
  3. 69'Sarmiento Junin:Julián Contrera 1651 +9*
  4. 69'Sarmiento Junin:Elián Giménez 1582 +2 for Julian Mavilla 1710 +4
  5. 69'Sarmiento Junin:Jonathan Herrera 1595 −2 for Jhon Rentería 1425 +12
  6. 70'River Plate:Tobías Andrada 1938 0
  7. 71'River Plate:Gonzalo Montiel 2055 −2 assist Thiago Almada 2291 −8
  8. 72'Sarmiento Junin:Gaston Gonzalez 1699 +1 for Julián Contrera 1651 +9*
  9. 72'River Plate:Lautaro Pereyra 1648 0 for Tomás Ezequiel Galván 2019 0
  10. 73'River Plate:Francisco Ortega 2117 −8* for Marcos Acuña 1889 −7
  11. 82'River Plate:Fausto Vera 2071 0
  12. 84'River Plate:Lucas Beltran 2060 −8* for Sebastián Driussi 2034 −2
  13. 89'Sarmiento Junin:Manuel García 1722 +5
  14. 90+3'Sarmiento Junin:Agustín Nadruz 1496 −10* for Santiago Salle 1709 +6
  15. 90+3'Sarmiento Junin:Pablo Daniel Magnin 1217 −8 for Junior Marabel 1752 +4

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-1-3-2
GT. Ayala1690+18
DS. Salle1709+6
DR. Orihuela1715+6
DJ. Insaurralde1561−9
DL. Suárez1747+2
MJ. Contrera1651+9*
MM. García1722+5
MC. Zabala1748+3
FJhon Rentería1425+12
FJ. Marabel1752+4
FJ. Mavilla1710+4
CFacundo Sava1754+8
GS. Beltrán20390
DG. Montiel2055−2
DL. Martínez2032−2
DN. Otamendi1956−12
DM. Acuña1889−7
MF. Vera20710
MT. Andrada19380
MT. Almada2291−8
MT. Galván20190
FÁ. Correa2122−4
FS. Driussi2034−2
CLeonardo Ponzio18450
Before kick-off: 14% · 19% · 67%(Sarmiento Junin · draw · River Plate)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–2 (9%); the result 1–1 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Sarmiento Junin €590K, River Plate €5.0M.
  • Liga Profesional: S. Beltrán was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2039).
  • Style contrast in attacking (Liga Profesional): Sarmiento Junin ranked #29 of 30, River Plate #1.
  • River Plate's expected eleven was in form: average +2.6 over 180 days.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Sarmiento Junin

11th in Liga Profesional · 19 pts from 16

  • 9 OctWAldosivi 1630
  • 19 SepLRacing Club 1676
  • 13 SepDBelgrano Cordoba 1679
  • 4 SepWEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1666
  • 28 AugLUnion Santa Fe 1694

River Plate

2nd in Liga Profesional · 29 pts from 16

  • 11 OctWEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1985
  • 19 SepLHuracan 2045
  • 12 SepWAtletico Tucuman 2038
  • 6 SepWIndepend. Rivadavia 2024
  • 30 AugWBanfield 1998

Season outlook

From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Sarmiento Junin19 /1624.40%0%0%22nd
River Plate29 /1638.321%75%0%2nd
Sarmiento Junin
River Plate

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Liga Profesional Argentina

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Mavilla
J. Mavilla

Sarmiento Junin · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1706

G. Montiel
G. Montiel

River Plate · +6.2 (Elite) · Elo 2057

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Facundo Sava

Coach DNA: direct

Leonardo Ponzio

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Sarmiento Junin: direct (how Facundo Sava plays) · River Plate: possession-based · creative (how Leonardo Ponzio plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.