1. Lig · Regular Season - 14
Sarıyer vs Iğdır FK
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Yusuf Ziya Onis, Istanbul
Sarıyer host Iğdır FK on Fri 6 Nov 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sarıyer 36%, draw 29%, Iğdır FK 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sarıyer €188K, Iğdır FK €332K.
- Home advantage makes Sarıyer the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Iğdır FK are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sarıyer goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–19%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Sarıyer 1629 · Iğdır FK 1724
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sarıyer · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1767
Iğdır FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1907
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sarıyer
8th in 1. Lig · 16 pts from 11
- 17 OctDSivasspor Turkey 1 Lig1625
- 13 OctLBodrum FK Turkey 1 Lig1597
- 9 OctDÜmraniyespor Turkey 1 Lig1567
- 19 SepWBoluspor Turkey 1 Lig1661
- 11 SepDBandırmaspor Turkey 1 Lig1596
Iğdır FK
3rd in 1. Lig · 23 pts from 11
- 18 OctWBoluspor Turkey 1 Lig1725
- 14 OctDKeçiörengücü Turkey 1 Lig1729
- 10 OctWBatman Petrolspor Turkey 1 Lig1751
- 18 SepDMuğlaspor Turkey 1 Lig1696
- 13 SepWMardin 1969 Turkey 1 Lig1728
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarıyer | 16 /11 | 51.2 | 0% | 4% | 2% | 11th |
| Iğdır FK | 23 /11 | 64.9 | 5% | 64% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sarıyer: balanced profile (how Bülent Bölükbaşı plays) · Iğdır FK: possession-based (how Kenan Koçak plays)