1. Lig · Regular Season - 10
Sarıyer 1–4 Bodrum FK
Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadium, Istanbul
SarıyerTeam 1606
Bodrum FKTeam 1655Match story
Sarıyer · draw · Bodrum FKBefore kick-off: 39% · 29% · 32%
Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Dogan Can Davas 81'
- Yusuf Sertkaya 7'
- Vincent Aboubakar 15', 23'
- Berkay Aslan 75'
We gave Sarıyer 39% to win: Bodrum FK won.
- 7'Yusuf Sertkaya 1763 +78 assist Tomas Cruz 1549 +140
Bodrum FK:Yusuf Sertkaya 1763 +78 assist Tomas Cruz 1549 +140 - 9'F. Apaydın 1698 +23*
Bodrum FK:F. Apaydın 1698 +23* - 15'Vincent Aboubakar 1724 +81 assist Fernando 1644 +14*
Bodrum FK:Vincent Aboubakar 1724 +81 assist Fernando 1644 +14* - 23'Vincent Aboubakar 1724 +81 assist Boran Baskan 1625 +28
Bodrum FK:Vincent Aboubakar 1724 +81 assist Boran Baskan 1625 +28 - 27'Berkay Aslan 1617 +77 for Fernando 1644 +14*
Bodrum FK:Berkay Aslan 1617 +77 for Fernando 1644 +14* - André Poko 1638 −14* for Marcos Silva 1723 −745'
Sarıyer:André Poko 1638 −14* for Marcos Silva 1723 −7 - Furkan Gedik 1206 0 for Eren Karadağ 1558 045'
Sarıyer:Furkan Gedik 1206 0 for Eren Karadağ 1558 0 - Joseph Attamah 1755 −12 for Tunahan Ergul 1398 045'
Sarıyer:Joseph Attamah 1755 −12 for Tunahan Ergul 1398 0 - 56'Boran Baskan 1625 +28
Bodrum FK:Boran Baskan 1625 +28 - Dogan Can Davas 1633 −2 for Mamadou Thiam 1597 −364'
Sarıyer:Dogan Can Davas 1633 −2 for Mamadou Thiam 1597 −3 - 69'Mustafa Erdilman 1771 +6 for Boran Baskan 1625 +28
Bodrum FK:Mustafa Erdilman 1771 +6 for Boran Baskan 1625 +28 - 75'Berkay Aslan 1617 +77 assist Mustafa Erdilman 1771 +6
Bodrum FK:Berkay Aslan 1617 +77 assist Mustafa Erdilman 1771 +6 - 80'Ege Bilsel 1766 +25
Bodrum FK:Ege Bilsel 1766 +25 - Dogan Can Davas 1633 −2 assist Cebrail Karayel 1699 −1381'
Sarıyer:Dogan Can Davas 1633 −2 assist Cebrail Karayel 1699 −13 - 90'Florian Loshaj 1669 −2 for Yusuf Sertkaya 1763 +78
Bodrum FK:Florian Loshaj 1669 −2 for Yusuf Sertkaya 1763 +78 - 90'Emre Kaplan 1592 0 for F. Apaydın 1698 +23*
Bodrum FK:Emre Kaplan 1592 0 for F. Apaydın 1698 +23* - 90'Elvir Gashijani for Ege Bilsel 1766 +25
Bodrum FK:Elvir Gashijani for Ege Bilsel 1766 +25 - Emeka Eze 1653 −13* (penalty missed)90+1'
Sarıyer:Emeka Eze 1653 −13* (penalty missed)
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 39% · 29% · 32%(Sarıyer · draw · Bodrum FK)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–4 had 1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Sarıyer €216K, Bodrum FK €414K.
- Home advantage made Sarıyer the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in dribbling (1. Lig): Sarıyer ranked #18 of 20, Bodrum FK #2.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sarıyer
8th in 1. Lig · 15 pts from 9
- 9 OctDÜmraniyespor Turkey 1 Lig1567
- 19 SepWBoluspor Turkey 1 Lig1661
- 11 SepDBandırmaspor Turkey 1 Lig1596
- 5 SepLKeçiörengücü Turkey 1 Lig1607
- 28 AugWAntalyaspor Turkey 1 Lig1597
Bodrum FK
15th in 1. Lig · 8 pts from 9
- 9 OctLKeçiörengücü Turkey 1 Lig1694
- 20 SepDPendikspor Turkey 1 Lig1671
- 12 SepWBatman Petrolspor Turkey 1 Lig1608
- 7 SepLMardin 1969 Turkey 1 Lig1642
- 3 SepDEsenler Erokspor Turkey 1 Lig1641
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarıyer | 15 /9 | 52.8 | <1% | 9% | 2% | 11th |
| Bodrum FK | 8 /9 | 49.3 | 0% | 4% | 6% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Sarıyer · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1797
Bodrum FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1657
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: low-block
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sarıyer: balanced profile (how Bülent Bölükbaşı plays) · Bodrum FK: direct (how Burhan Eser plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.