Serie A · Regular Season - 37
Sao Paulo vs Remo
Thu 26 Nov 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Estadio Do MorumBIS, Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo host Remo on Thu 26 Nov 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sao Paulo 58%, draw 24%, Remo 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sao Paulo €2.4M, Remo €723K.
- Style contrast in possession (Série A): Sao Paulo rank #3 of 20, Remo #17.
- All 11 of Remo's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sao Paulo goals first.
- 1–014%
- 2–012%
- 1–111%
- 2–110%
- 0–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores38%
Team Elo: Sao Paulo 1859 · Remo 1742
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sao Paulo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1878
Remo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1776
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sao Paulo
10th in Série A · 44 pts from 34
- 5 NovDCorinthians Brazil Serie A1877
- 29 OctLBahia Brazil Serie A1909
- 24 OctDMirassol Brazil Serie A1875
- 18 OctWVasco Da Gama Brazil Serie A1892
- 11 OctWVitoria Brazil Serie A1851
Remo
19th in Série A · 29 pts from 34
- 5 NovLPalmeiras Brazil Serie A1749
- 29 OctWBotafogo Brazil Serie A1725
- 23 OctLCruzeiro Brazil Serie A1702
- 18 OctDRB Bragantino Brazil Serie A1736
- 10 OctDVasco Da Gama Brazil Serie A1678
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 44 /34 | 49.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10th |
| Remo | 29 /34 | 33.8 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sao Paulo: possession-based (how Dorival Júnior plays) · Remo: balanced profile (how Carpini Thiago plays)