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Serie B · Regular Season - 34

São Bernardo 0–1 Criciuma

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio Primeiro de Maio, San Bernado do Campo

São Bernardo crestSão BernardoTeam 1644
0–1
Full time
HT 0–1
Criciuma crestCriciumaTeam 1682

Match story

São Bernardo · draw · Criciuma

Before kick-off: 43% · 29% · 28%

Live chances: São Bernardo 0%, draw 1%, Criciuma 99% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 43%, draw 29%, Criciuma 28%2' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 43%, draw 29%, Criciuma 28%3' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 43%, draw 29%, Criciuma 28%4' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 43%, draw 29%, Criciuma 28%5' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 43%, draw 29%, Criciuma 28%6' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 42%, draw 29%, Criciuma 28%7' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 42%, draw 29%, Criciuma 28%8' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 42%, draw 30%, Criciuma 28%9' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 42%, draw 30%, Criciuma 28%10' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 42%, draw 30%, Criciuma 28%11' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 42%, draw 30%, Criciuma 28%12' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 42%, draw 30%, Criciuma 28%13' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 42%, draw 30%, Criciuma 28%14' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 42%, draw 30%, Criciuma 28%15' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 41%, draw 30%, Criciuma 28%16' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 41%, draw 31%, Criciuma 28%17' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 41%, draw 31%, Criciuma 28%18' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 41%, draw 31%, Criciuma 28%20' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 41%, draw 31%, Criciuma 28%21' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 41%, draw 31%, Criciuma 28%22' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 41%, draw 32%, Criciuma 28%23' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 40%, draw 32%, Criciuma 28%24' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 40%, draw 32%, Criciuma 28%25' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 40%, draw 32%, Criciuma 28%26' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 40%, draw 32%, Criciuma 28%27' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 40%, draw 32%, Criciuma 28%28' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 40%, draw 33%, Criciuma 28%29' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 40%, draw 33%, Criciuma 28%30' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 39%, draw 33%, Criciuma 28%31' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 39%, draw 33%, Criciuma 28%32' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 39%, draw 33%, Criciuma 27%33' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 39%, draw 34%, Criciuma 27%34' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 39%, draw 34%, Criciuma 27%35' · 0–0 · São Bernardo 38%, draw 34%, Criciuma 27%36' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 19%, draw 28%, Criciuma 53%37' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 19%, draw 28%, Criciuma 53%38' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 19%, draw 28%, Criciuma 54%39' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 18%, draw 28%, Criciuma 54%40' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 18%, draw 28%, Criciuma 54%41' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 18%, draw 28%, Criciuma 55%43' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 17%, draw 28%, Criciuma 55%44' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 17%, draw 28%, Criciuma 55%45' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 17%, draw 28%, Criciuma 56%45+1' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 16%, draw 28%, Criciuma 56%45+2' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 16%, draw 28%, Criciuma 56%HT · 0–1 · São Bernardo 16%, draw 28%, Criciuma 57%47' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 15%, draw 28%, Criciuma 57%48' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 15%, draw 28%, Criciuma 57%49' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 15%, draw 28%, Criciuma 58%50' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 14%, draw 28%, Criciuma 58%51' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 14%, draw 28%, Criciuma 59%52' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 13%, draw 27%, Criciuma 59%53' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 13%, draw 27%, Criciuma 59%54' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 13%, draw 27%, Criciuma 60%55' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 12%, draw 27%, Criciuma 60%56' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 12%, draw 27%, Criciuma 61%57' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 11%, draw 27%, Criciuma 61%58' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 11%, draw 27%, Criciuma 62%59' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 11%, draw 27%, Criciuma 62%60' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 10%, draw 27%, Criciuma 63%61' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 10%, draw 26%, Criciuma 63%62' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 10%, draw 26%, Criciuma 64%63' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 9%, draw 26%, Criciuma 65%64' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 9%, draw 26%, Criciuma 65%65' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 9%, draw 26%, Criciuma 66%66' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 8%, draw 26%, Criciuma 66%67' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 8%, draw 25%, Criciuma 67%68' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 8%, draw 25%, Criciuma 67%69' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 7%, draw 25%, Criciuma 68%70' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 7%, draw 24%, Criciuma 69%71' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 6%, draw 24%, Criciuma 69%72' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 6%, draw 24%, Criciuma 70%73' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 6%, draw 23%, Criciuma 71%74' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 5%, draw 23%, Criciuma 72%75' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 5%, draw 23%, Criciuma 72%76' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 5%, draw 22%, Criciuma 73%77' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 4%, draw 22%, Criciuma 74%78' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 4%, draw 21%, Criciuma 75%79' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 4%, draw 21%, Criciuma 76%80' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 3%, draw 20%, Criciuma 77%81' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 3%, draw 19%, Criciuma 78%82' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 3%, draw 19%, Criciuma 79%83' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 3%, draw 18%, Criciuma 80%84' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 2%, draw 17%, Criciuma 81%85' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 2%, draw 16%, Criciuma 82%86' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 2%, draw 15%, Criciuma 83%87' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 1%, draw 14%, Criciuma 84%88' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 1%, draw 13%, Criciuma 85%89' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 1%, draw 12%, Criciuma 87%90' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 1%, draw 11%, Criciuma 88%90+1' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 1%, draw 10%, Criciuma 90%90+2' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 0%, draw 8%, Criciuma 92%90+3' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 0%, draw 6%, Criciuma 93%90+4' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 0%, draw 5%, Criciuma 95%90+5' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 0%, draw 3%, Criciuma 97%90+6' · 0–1 · São Bernardo 0%, draw 1%, Criciuma 99%

Last reading, 90+6': 0% · 1% · 99%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave São Bernardo 43% to win: Criciuma won.

  1. 35'Criciuma:César Martins 1713 +22 assist Willean Bernardo 1831 +20
  2. 61'Criciuma:Bruno Alves 1570 +4* for César Martins 1713 +22
  3. 61'Criciuma:Waguininho 1536 −1 for Rómulo Otero 1708 +4
  4. 66'São Bernardo:Mário Sérgio Valerio 1734 −7 for Pará 1695 −8
  5. 66'São Bernardo:Fabrício Daniel 1630 −2 for Lucas Fernandes 1612 −2
  6. 66'São Bernardo:Daniel Davi Simão Roque 1487 −8* for Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopes 1765 −11
  7. 69'Criciuma:Yuri Jonathan 1603 +4 for Nicolas Godinho Johann 1473 +13
  8. 73'São Bernardo:Romisson 1755 −5 for Foguinho 1456 −6
  9. 80'São Bernardo:Pedro Vitor Ferreira da Silva 1707 −2 for Luiz Gustavo Oliveira da Silva 1722 −28
  10. 84'Criciuma:Guilherme Teixeira Lobo 1781 0 for Diego Gonçalves 1667 +13

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-3Formations4-4-2
GAlex Alves1721−20
DMarcão1419−8
DJemerson1732−18
DLuizão1722−28
MLucas Fernandes1612−2
MFoguinho1456−6
MEduardo1754−14
MPará1695−8
FPedrinho1765−11
FFelipe Garcia1489−8
FHugo Sanches1311−4
CVinícius Bergantin1714−19
GAirton1757+11
DWillean Lepo1831+20
DLuciano Castán1742+27
DRodrigo1702+29
DMarcelo Hermes1768+25
MR. Otero1708+4
MCésar Martins1713+22
MRonald1801+26
MFellipe Mateus1663+43
FDiego Gonçalves1667+13
FNicolas1473+13
Before kick-off: 43% · 29% · 28%(São Bernardo · draw · Criciuma)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–1 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: São Bernardo €361K, Criciuma €376K.
  • Home advantage made São Bernardo the favourite: it added 11 points to their win chance.
  • São Bernardo's expected eleven was in form: average +1.9 over 180 days.
  • All 11 of São Bernardo's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
  • All 11 of Criciuma's expected starters were past their position's peak age.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

São Bernardo

12th in Serie B · 46 pts from 33

  • 11 OctDJuventude 1673
  • 6 OctLSport Recife 1676
  • 2 OctWCRB 1674
  • 25 SepDNovorizontino 1686
  • 19 SepWAtletico Goianiense 1686

Criciuma

5th in Serie B · 56 pts from 33

  • 12 OctWAmerica Mineiro 1679
  • 8 OctLCeara 1690
  • 2 OctWLondrina 1668
  • 27 SepWAvai 1646
  • 22 SepLOperario-PR 1668

Season outlook

From the Serie B simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
São Bernardo46 /3353.10%0%0%11th
Criciuma56 /3362.91%26%0%5th
São Bernardo
Criciuma

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Serie B

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Eduardo
Eduardo

São Bernardo · +7.6 (Elite) · Elo 1768

Marcelo Hermes
Marcelo Hermes

Criciuma · +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1742

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

São Bernardo: balanced profile (how Vinícius Bergantin plays) · Criciuma: balanced profile

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.